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A. Zverev vs A. De Minaur prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
A. ZverevA. De Minaur
71.5 %28.5 %
Model favourite
A. Zverev
Probability
71 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · A. De Minaur

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPATP Laver Cuphard court16:25Time to be confirmed
A. Zverev
A. Zverev
vs
A. De Minaur
A. De Minaur
2525
Elo
2316
2366
Elo on hard court
2227
9 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
3
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.32
Odds
3.45

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Zverev
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
A. De Minaur
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
9 – 1
Wins – losses
6 – 4
26 – 7
Sets won – lost
14 – 10
9 wins
Current streak
2 wins
55-13 (81%)
2026 record
35-18 (66%)
162-61 (73%)
Record on hard court
144-78 (65%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Zverev and A. De Minaur, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Zverev comes in with an Elo of 2525, against 2316 for A. De Minaur: a 209-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 138 points in favour of A. Zverev. A. Zverev won 9 of the last ten matches, A. De Minaur won 6. A. Zverev has 5 wins in the last five matches. A. De Minaur has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, A. Zverev leads 4 to 2 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make A. Zverev the favourite.

The model gave A. Zverev the win at 71 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. De Minaur won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

A. Zverev's last five matches

A. De Minaur's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

A. Zverev leads 4 to 2

Road through the tournament

This is A. Zverev's first match of the tournament. This is A. De Minaur's first match of the tournament.

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Zverev wins 62 % (133 of 214), A. De Minaur 58 % (70 of 120). In deciding sets, A. Zverev wins 64 % of the time (116 matches), A. De Minaur 58 % (100 matches). After losing the first set, A. Zverev turned 39 % of matches around (124 occasions), A. De Minaur 28 % (136 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Zverev went on to win 91 % of matches, A. De Minaur 88 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Zverev – A. De Minaur

Who is the favourite between A. Zverev and A. De Minaur?
The match is over: A. De Minaur won 2-1. Bookmakers make A. Zverev the favourite, priced at 1.32 against 3.45 for A. De Minaur. Pronocast's model had A. Zverev winning at 71 %.
When is the A. Zverev – A. De Minaur match?
On Saturday, 26 September 2026, at the ATP Laver Cup tournament (hard court). The time is still to be confirmed.
What is the head-to-head between A. Zverev and A. De Minaur?
Since 2020, A. Zverev leads 4 to 2 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Zverev – A. De Minaur?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: ATP Laver Cup

Tournament page

Other matches on 26 September 2026

All matches on 26 September 2026