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F. Cobolli vs L. Tien prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
F. CobolliL. Tien
31.0 %69.0 %
Model favourite
L. Tien
Probability
69 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · L. Tien

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPATP Laver Cuphard court14:25Time to be confirmed
F. Cobolli
F. Cobolli
vs
L. Tien
L. Tien
2287
Elo
2305
2104
Elo on hard court
2227
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
0
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
3.05
Odds
1.39

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

F. Cobolli
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
L. Tien
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
6 – 4
Wins – losses
6 – 4
15 – 16
Sets won – lost
18 – 11
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
33-19 (63%)
2026 record
30-17 (64%)
82-73 (53%)
Record on hard court
98-44 (69%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by F. Cobolli and L. Tien, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

L. Tien comes in with an Elo of 2305, against 2287 for F. Cobolli: a 18-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 123 points in favour of L. Tien. F. Cobolli won 6 of the last ten matches, L. Tien won 6. F. Cobolli has 3 wins in the last five matches. L. Tien has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each. Bookmakers make L. Tien the favourite.

The model gave L. Tien the win at 69 %, with a likely score of 2-0. L. Tien won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

F. Cobolli's last five matches

L. Tien's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

Level, 1 win(s) each

Road through the tournament

This is F. Cobolli's first match of the tournament. This is L. Tien's first match of the tournament.

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, F. Cobolli wins 56 % (83 of 149), L. Tien 64 % (49 of 77). In deciding sets, F. Cobolli wins 64 % of the time (132 matches), L. Tien 70 % (66 matches). After losing the first set, F. Cobolli turned 27 % of matches around (184 occasions), L. Tien 33 % (78 occasions). After winning the first set, F. Cobolli went on to win 88 % of matches, L. Tien 89 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about F. Cobolli – L. Tien

Who is the favourite between F. Cobolli and L. Tien?
The match is over: L. Tien won 2-1. Bookmakers make L. Tien the favourite, priced at 1.39 against 3.05 for F. Cobolli. Pronocast's model had L. Tien winning at 69 %.
When is the F. Cobolli – L. Tien match?
On Saturday, 26 September 2026, at the ATP Laver Cup tournament (hard court). The time is still to be confirmed.
What is the head-to-head between F. Cobolli and L. Tien?
Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each.
Where can I see the prediction for F. Cobolli – L. Tien?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: ATP Laver Cup

Tournament page

Other matches on 26 September 2026

All matches on 26 September 2026