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A. Zverev vs B. Shelton prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. ZverevB. Shelton
56.0 %44.0 %
Model favourite
A. Zverev
Probability
56 %
Predicted score
3-1
Exact score
Actual score
3-1 · A. Zverev

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPUS OpenFinalhard court20:20
A. Zverev
A. Zverev
vs
B. Shelton
B. Shelton
2509
Elo
2432
2349
Elo on hard court
2361
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
9 / 10
6
Recent matches
6
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.68
Odds
2.23

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Zverev
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
B. Shelton
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
8 – 2
Wins – losses
9 – 1
24 – 9
Sets won – lost
24 – 8
6 wins
Current streak
6 wins
52-13 (80%)
2026 record
39-13 (75%)
161-61 (73%)
Record on hard court
144-66 (69%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Zverev and B. Shelton, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Zverev comes in with an Elo of 2509, against 2432 for B. Shelton: a 77-point edge. A. Zverev won 8 of the last ten matches, B. Shelton won 9. A. Zverev has 5 wins in the last five matches. B. Shelton has 5 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, A. Zverev leads 5 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make A. Zverev the favourite.

The model gave A. Zverev the win at 56 %, with a likely score of 3-1. A. Zverev won 3-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Zverev's last five matches

B. Shelton's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

A. Zverev leads 5 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Zverev beat L. Sonego (6-4 3-6 6-7 7-5 6-4), then Q. Halys (6-4 4-6 7-6 6-7 6-3), then A. Tabilo (6-2 7-6 6-2), then L. Darderi (6-2 6-2 7-6), then B. Van De Zandschulp (6-2 7-5 6-1), then K. Khachanov (6-3 7-6 7-6). To reach this round, B. Shelton beat T. Griekspoor (1-6 6-1 7-6 6-2), then H. Hurkacz (6-3 5-7 7-6 7-5), then D. Shapovalov (7-6 6-7 6-3 6-4), then S. Tsitsipas (6-2 6-3 6-4), then C. Alcaraz (6-7 6-1 6-3 1-6 7-6), then F. Tiafoe (4-6 6-3 6-3 7-5). In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Alcaraz, who beat J. Sinner in the final (6-2 3-6 6-1 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Zverev wins 62 % (131 of 212), B. Shelton 55 % (106 of 193). In deciding sets, A. Zverev wins 64 % of the time (116 matches), B. Shelton 59 % (107 matches). After losing the first set, A. Zverev turned 39 % of matches around (124 occasions), B. Shelton 38 % (126 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Zverev went on to win 91 % of matches, B. Shelton 86 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Zverev – B. Shelton

Who is the favourite between A. Zverev and B. Shelton?
The match is over: A. Zverev won 3-1. Bookmakers make A. Zverev the favourite, priced at 1.68 against 2.23 for B. Shelton. Pronocast's model had A. Zverev winning at 56 %.
When is the A. Zverev – B. Shelton match?
On Sunday, 13 September 2026 at 20:20, at the US Open tournament (Final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Zverev and B. Shelton?
Since 2020, A. Zverev leads 5 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Zverev – B. Shelton?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: US Open

Tournament page

Other matches on 13 September 2026

All matches on 13 September 2026