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A. Zverev vs K. Khachanov prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. ZverevK. Khachanov
81.8 %18.2 %
Model favourite
A. Zverev
Probability
82 %
Predicted score
3-0
Exact score
Actual score
3-0 · A. Zverev

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPUS OpenSemi-finalhard court21:15
A. Zverev
A. Zverev
vs
K. Khachanov
K. Khachanov
2500
Elo
2204
2332
Elo on hard court
2093
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
4
Recent matches
4
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.19
Odds
4.94

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Zverev
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
K. Khachanov
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
6 – 4
22 – 12
Sets won – lost
21 – 13
5 wins
Current streak
4 wins
51-13 (80%)
2026 record
20-18 (53%)
160-61 (72%)
Record on hard court
112-79 (59%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Zverev and K. Khachanov, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Zverev comes in with an Elo of 2500, against 2204 for K. Khachanov: a 296-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 240 points in favour of A. Zverev. A. Zverev won 7 of the last ten matches, K. Khachanov won 6. A. Zverev has 5 wins in the last five matches. K. Khachanov has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, A. Zverev leads 3 to 1 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make A. Zverev the favourite.

The model gave A. Zverev the win at 82 %, with a likely score of 3-0. A. Zverev won 3-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Zverev's last five matches

K. Khachanov's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

A. Zverev leads 3 to 1

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Zverev beat L. Sonego (6-4 3-6 6-7 7-5 6-4), then Q. Halys (6-4 4-6 7-6 6-7 6-3), then A. Tabilo (6-2 7-6 6-2), then L. Darderi (6-2 6-2 7-6), then B. Van De Zandschulp (6-2 7-5 6-1). To reach this round, K. Khachanov beat R. A. Burruchaga (6-3 6-0 6-1), then F. Auger-Aliassime (6-7 6-3 6-2 6-2), then B. Bonzi (6-3 6-2 6-4), then L. Tien (7-5 4-6 6-7 6-1 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Alcaraz, who beat J. Sinner in the final (6-2 3-6 6-1 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Zverev wins 61 % (129 of 210), K. Khachanov 52 % (75 of 145). In deciding sets, A. Zverev wins 64 % of the time (116 matches), K. Khachanov 52 % (110 matches). After losing the first set, A. Zverev turned 39 % of matches around (124 occasions), K. Khachanov 31 % (123 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Zverev went on to win 91 % of matches, K. Khachanov 81 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Zverev – K. Khachanov

Who is the favourite between A. Zverev and K. Khachanov?
The match is over: A. Zverev won 3-0. Bookmakers make A. Zverev the favourite, priced at 1.19 against 4.94 for K. Khachanov. Pronocast's model had A. Zverev winning at 82 %.
When is the A. Zverev – K. Khachanov match?
On Friday, 11 September 2026 at 21:15, at the US Open tournament (Semi-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Zverev and K. Khachanov?
Since 2020, A. Zverev leads 3 to 1 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Zverev – K. Khachanov?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: US Open

Tournament page

Other matches on 11 September 2026

All matches on 11 September 2026