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B. Bonzi vs A. Holmgren prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
B. BonziA. Holmgren
71.8 %28.2 %
Model favourite
B. Bonzi
Probability
72 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · A. Holmgren

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPortoRound of 32hard court14:05
B. Bonzi
B. Bonzi
vs
A. Holmgren
A. Holmgren
2164
Elo
1888
2059
Elo on hard court
1828
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
0
Recent matches
0
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.26
Odds
3.27

Community · Who wins?

1 vote
B. Bonzi 100 %0 % A. Holmgren

Community vote before the match. It does not come from the model.

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

B. Bonzi
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
A. Holmgren
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
7 – 3
Wins – losses
4 – 6
17 – 9
Sets won – lost
12 – 14
1 loss
Current streak
5 losses
34-23 (60%)
2026 record
26-28 (48%)
155-93 (63%)
Record on hard court
82-61 (57%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by B. Bonzi and A. Holmgren, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

B. Bonzi comes in with an Elo of 2164, against 1888 for A. Holmgren: a 276-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 231 points in favour of B. Bonzi. B. Bonzi won 7 of the last ten matches, A. Holmgren won 4. B. Bonzi has 3 wins in the last five matches. A. Holmgren has no win in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make B. Bonzi the favourite.

The model gave B. Bonzi the win at 72 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Holmgren won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

B. Bonzi's last five matches

A. Holmgren's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is B. Bonzi's first match of the tournament. This is A. Holmgren's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat F. Maestrelli in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, B. Bonzi wins 56 % (93 of 165), A. Holmgren 61 % (65 of 107). In deciding sets, B. Bonzi wins 51 % of the time (116 matches), A. Holmgren 46 % (74 matches). After losing the first set, B. Bonzi turned 26 % of matches around (151 occasions), A. Holmgren 19 % (90 occasions). After winning the first set, B. Bonzi went on to win 84 % of matches, A. Holmgren 80 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about B. Bonzi – A. Holmgren

Who is the favourite between B. Bonzi and A. Holmgren?
The match is over: A. Holmgren won 2-0. Bookmakers make B. Bonzi the favourite, priced at 1.26 against 3.27 for A. Holmgren. Pronocast's model had B. Bonzi winning at 72 %.
When is the B. Bonzi – A. Holmgren match?
On Monday, 28 September 2026 at 14:05, at the Porto tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between B. Bonzi and A. Holmgren?
No meeting between B. Bonzi and A. Holmgren appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for B. Bonzi – A. Holmgren?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Porto

Tournament page

Other matches on 28 September 2026

All matches on 28 September 2026