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B. Ellis vs M. Purcell prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
B. EllisM. Purcell
21.8 %78.2 %
Model favourite
M. Purcell
Probability
78 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · M. Purcell

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.5.

Men's ChallengerPhan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - QualificationRound of 16hard court06:10
B. Ellis
B. Ellis
vs
M. Purcell
M. Purcell
1733
Elo
2026
1710
Elo on hard court
1948
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
3
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

B. Ellis
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
M. Purcell
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
4 – 6
Wins – losses
6 – 4
9 – 14
Sets won – lost
15 – 9
1 win
Current streak
1 win
13-11 (54%)
2026 record
4-2 (67%)
47-47 (50%)
Record on hard court
98-65 (60%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by B. Ellis and M. Purcell, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Purcell comes in with an Elo of 2026, against 1733 for B. Ellis: a 293-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 238 points in favour of M. Purcell. B. Ellis won 5 of the last ten matches, M. Purcell won 8. B. Ellis has 2 wins in the last five matches. M. Purcell has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave M. Purcell the win at 78 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Purcell won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

B. Ellis's last five matches

M. Purcell's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, B. Ellis beat B. O'Connell (7-6 6-3). To reach this round, M. Purcell beat R. Pacheco Mendez (6-3 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, B. Ellis wins 59 % (26 of 44), M. Purcell 54 % (51 of 94). In deciding sets, B. Ellis wins 65 % of the time (34 matches), M. Purcell 61 % (76 matches). After losing the first set, B. Ellis turned 20 % of matches around (54 occasions), M. Purcell 26 % (101 occasions). After winning the first set, B. Ellis went on to win 85 % of matches, M. Purcell 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about B. Ellis – M. Purcell

Who is the favourite between B. Ellis and M. Purcell?
The match is over: M. Purcell won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had M. Purcell winning at 78 %.
When is the B. Ellis – M. Purcell match?
On Thursday, 10 September 2026 at 06:10, at the Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between B. Ellis and M. Purcell?
No meeting between B. Ellis and M. Purcell appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for B. Ellis – M. Purcell?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification

Tournament page

Other matches on 10 September 2026

All matches on 10 September 2026