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H. Moriya vs Y. Shimizu prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
H. MoriyaY. Shimizu
20.9 %79.1 %
Model favourite
Y. Shimizu
Probability
79 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · Y. Shimizu

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPhan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - QualificationQuarter-finalhard court04:40
H. Moriya
H. Moriya
vs
Y. Shimizu
Y. Shimizu
1725
Elo
1848
1694
Elo on hard court
1815
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
5
Recent matches
2
Edge
Head-to-head
–
4.19
Odds
1.19

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

H. Moriya
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
Y. Shimizu
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
6 – 4
11 – 12
Sets won – lost
13 – 9
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
21-21 (50%)
2026 record
20-16 (56%)
109-133 (45%)
Record on hard court
115-98 (54%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by H. Moriya and Y. Shimizu, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Y. Shimizu comes in with an Elo of 1848, against 1725 for H. Moriya: a 123-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 122 points in favour of Y. Shimizu. H. Moriya won 5 of the last ten matches, Y. Shimizu won 5. H. Moriya has 4 wins in the last five matches. Y. Shimizu has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, H. Moriya leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make Y. Shimizu the favourite.

The model gave Y. Shimizu the win at 79 %, with a likely score of 2-0. Y. Shimizu won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

H. Moriya's last five matches

Y. Shimizu's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

H. Moriya leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, H. Moriya beat D. Palan (4-6 6-1 6-2), then M. Jones (6-3 7-6). To reach this round, Y. Shimizu beat A. Vishal Balsekar (6-1 6-1), then K. Samrej (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, H. Moriya wins 46 % (31 of 67), Y. Shimizu 53 % (46 of 86). In deciding sets, H. Moriya wins 46 % of the time (74 matches), Y. Shimizu 52 % (66 matches). After losing the first set, H. Moriya turned 14 % of matches around (127 occasions), Y. Shimizu 16 % (93 occasions). After winning the first set, H. Moriya went on to win 80 % of matches, Y. Shimizu 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about H. Moriya – Y. Shimizu

Who is the favourite between H. Moriya and Y. Shimizu?
The match is over: Y. Shimizu won 2-1. Bookmakers make Y. Shimizu the favourite, priced at 1.19 against 4.19 for H. Moriya. Pronocast's model had Y. Shimizu winning at 79 %.
When is the H. Moriya – Y. Shimizu match?
On Friday, 11 September 2026 at 04:40, at the Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between H. Moriya and Y. Shimizu?
Since 2020, H. Moriya leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for H. Moriya – Y. Shimizu?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification

Tournament page

Other matches on 11 September 2026

All matches on 11 September 2026