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B. Harris vs F. Balshaw prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
B. HarrisF. Balshaw
43.8 %56.2 %
Model favourite
F. Balshaw
Probability
56 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · F. Balshaw

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerMouilleron-Le-CaptifRound of 32hard court11:10
B. Harris
B. Harris
vs
F. Balshaw
F. Balshaw
1910
Elo
2011
1830
Elo on hard court
1885
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
2
Recent matches
0
–
Head-to-head
Edge
2.12
Odds
1.58

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

B. Harris
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
F. Balshaw
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
7 – 3
13 – 11
Sets won – lost
14 – 9
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
19-30 (39%)
2026 record
26-13 (67%)
104-90 (54%)
Record on hard court
14-9 (61%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by B. Harris and F. Balshaw, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

F. Balshaw comes in with an Elo of 2011, against 1910 for B. Harris: a 101-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 55 points in favour of F. Balshaw. B. Harris won 5 of the last ten matches, F. Balshaw won 7. B. Harris has 2 wins in the last five matches. F. Balshaw has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, F. Balshaw leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make F. Balshaw the favourite.

The model gave F. Balshaw the win at 56 %, with a likely score of 2-0. F. Balshaw won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

B. Harris's last five matches

F. Balshaw's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

F. Balshaw leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is B. Harris's first match of the tournament. This is F. Balshaw's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by N. Budkov Kjaer, who beat P. Kypson in the final (6-0 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, B. Harris wins 48 % (71 of 149), F. Balshaw 58 % (11 of 19). In deciding sets, B. Harris wins 53 % of the time (118 matches), F. Balshaw 63 % (16 matches). After losing the first set, B. Harris turned 20 % of matches around (164 occasions), F. Balshaw 35 % (20 occasions). After winning the first set, B. Harris went on to win 84 % of matches, F. Balshaw 90 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about B. Harris – F. Balshaw

Who is the favourite between B. Harris and F. Balshaw?
The match is over: F. Balshaw won 2-1. Bookmakers make F. Balshaw the favourite, priced at 1.58 against 2.12 for B. Harris. Pronocast's model had F. Balshaw winning at 56 %.
When is the B. Harris – F. Balshaw match?
On Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at 11:10, at the Mouilleron-Le-Captif tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between B. Harris and F. Balshaw?
Since 2020, F. Balshaw leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for B. Harris – F. Balshaw?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Mouilleron-Le-Captif

Tournament page

Other matches on 29 September 2026

All matches on 29 September 2026