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B. Nakashima vs K. Smith prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
B. NakashimaK. Smith
46.7 %53.3 %
Model favourite
K. Smith
Probability
53 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · K. Smith

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerColumbusRound of 16hard court17:10
B. Nakashima
B. Nakashima
vs
K. Smith
K. Smith
1888
Elo
1901
1856
Elo on hard court
1865
9 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
3
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.98
Odds
1.80

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

B. Nakashima
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
K. Smith
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
5 – 5
12 – 10
Sets won – lost
12 – 13
1 win
Current streak
1 win
5-2 (71%)
2026 record
30-23 (57%)
6-5 (55%)
Record on hard court
85-75 (53%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by B. Nakashima and K. Smith, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Both players come in with almost the same Elo (1888 against 1901): nothing separates them in the model's rating. B. Nakashima won 9 of the last ten matches, K. Smith won 5. B. Nakashima has 4 wins in the last five matches. K. Smith has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make K. Smith the favourite.

The model gave K. Smith the win at 53 %, with a likely score of 2-0. K. Smith won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

B. Nakashima's last five matches

K. Smith's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, B. Nakashima beat J. Kennedy (4-6 6-2 7-6). To reach this round, K. Smith beat K. Bigun (4-6 7-6 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Zheng, who beat M. Damm in the final (3-6 6-3 7-5).

Frequently asked questions about B. Nakashima – K. Smith

Who is the favourite between B. Nakashima and K. Smith?
The match is over: K. Smith won 2-1. Bookmakers make K. Smith the favourite, priced at 1.80 against 1.98 for B. Nakashima. Pronocast's model had K. Smith winning at 53 %.
When is the B. Nakashima – K. Smith match?
On Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 17:10, at the Columbus tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between B. Nakashima and K. Smith?
No meeting between B. Nakashima and K. Smith appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for B. Nakashima – K. Smith?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Columbus

Tournament page

Other matches on 1 October 2026

All matches on 1 October 2026