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B. Tomic vs T. Skatov prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
B. TomicT. Skatov
59.0 %41.0 %
Model favourite
B. Tomic
Probability
59 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · B. Tomic

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPShanghaiQualifyinghard court06:10
B. Tomic
B. Tomic
vs
T. Skatov
T. Skatov
1977
Elo
1942
1946
Elo on hard court
1838
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
4
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

B. Tomic
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
T. Skatov
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
5 – 5
15 – 9
Sets won – lost
11 – 11
2 wins
Current streak
3 wins
30-22 (58%)
2026 record
32-29 (52%)
98-78 (56%)
Record on hard court
39-46 (46%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by B. Tomic and T. Skatov, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

B. Tomic comes in with an Elo of 1977, against 1942 for T. Skatov: a 34-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 108 points in favour of B. Tomic. B. Tomic won 7 of the last ten matches, T. Skatov won 5. B. Tomic has 3 wins in the last five matches. T. Skatov has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave B. Tomic the win at 59 %, with a likely score of 2-0. B. Tomic won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

B. Tomic's last five matches

T. Skatov's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is B. Tomic's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, T. Skatov beat S. Sakellaridis (6-3 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, B. Tomic wins 54 % (55 of 101), T. Skatov 46 % (63 of 137). In deciding sets, B. Tomic wins 60 % of the time (97 matches), T. Skatov 54 % (114 matches). After losing the first set, B. Tomic turned 28 % of matches around (116 occasions), T. Skatov 20 % (151 occasions). After winning the first set, B. Tomic went on to win 83 % of matches, T. Skatov 82 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about B. Tomic – T. Skatov

Who is the favourite between B. Tomic and T. Skatov?
The match is over: B. Tomic won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had B. Tomic winning at 59 %.
When is the B. Tomic – T. Skatov match?
On Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at 06:10, at the Shanghai tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between B. Tomic and T. Skatov?
No meeting between B. Tomic and T. Skatov appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for B. Tomic – T. Skatov?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 6 October 2026

All matches on 6 October 2026