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B. Van De Zandschulp vs D. Merida Aguilar prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
B. Van De ZandschulpD. Merida Aguilar
50.1 %49.9 %
Model favourite
B. Van De Zandschulp
Probability
50 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · B. Van De Zandschulp

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPShanghaiRound of 128hard court11:30
B. Van De Zandschulp
B. Van De Zandschulp
vs
D. Merida Aguilar
D. Merida Aguilar
2206
Elo
2240
2104
Elo on hard court
2147
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
4
Recent matches
0
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.92
Odds
1.86

Community · Who wins?

1 vote
B. Van De Zandschulp 0 %100 % D. Merida Aguilar

Community vote before the match. It does not come from the model.

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

B. Van De Zandschulp
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
D. Merida Aguilar
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
7 – 3
19 – 13
Sets won – lost
16 – 11
1 loss
Current streak
1 win
28-22 (56%)
2026 record
40-20 (67%)
103-87 (54%)
Record on hard court
35-30 (54%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by B. Van De Zandschulp and D. Merida Aguilar, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

D. Merida Aguilar comes in with an Elo of 2240, against 2206 for B. Van De Zandschulp: a 34-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 43 points in favour of D. Merida Aguilar. B. Van De Zandschulp won 7 of the last ten matches, D. Merida Aguilar won 7. B. Van De Zandschulp has 3 wins in the last five matches. D. Merida Aguilar has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make D. Merida Aguilar the favourite.

The model gave B. Van De Zandschulp the win at 50 %, with a likely score of 2-0. B. Van De Zandschulp won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

B. Van De Zandschulp's last five matches

D. Merida Aguilar's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is B. Van De Zandschulp's first match of the tournament. This is D. Merida Aguilar's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, B. Van De Zandschulp wins 52 % (81 of 155), D. Merida Aguilar 43 % (22 of 51). In deciding sets, B. Van De Zandschulp wins 56 % of the time (119 matches), D. Merida Aguilar 58 % (66 matches). After losing the first set, B. Van De Zandschulp turned 23 % of matches around (166 occasions), D. Merida Aguilar 22 % (92 occasions). After winning the first set, B. Van De Zandschulp went on to win 86 % of matches, D. Merida Aguilar 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about B. Van De Zandschulp – D. Merida Aguilar

Who is the favourite between B. Van De Zandschulp and D. Merida Aguilar?
The match is over: B. Van De Zandschulp won 2-1. Bookmakers cannot separate the two players: B. Van De Zandschulp is priced at 1.92, D. Merida Aguilar at 1.86. Pronocast's model had B. Van De Zandschulp winning at 50 %.
When is the B. Van De Zandschulp – D. Merida Aguilar match?
On Thursday, 8 October 2026 at 11:30, at the Shanghai tournament (Round of 128, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between B. Van De Zandschulp and D. Merida Aguilar?
No meeting between B. Van De Zandschulp and D. Merida Aguilar appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for B. Van De Zandschulp – D. Merida Aguilar?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 8 October 2026

All matches on 8 October 2026