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C. Norrie vs D. Svrcina prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
C. NorrieD. Svrcina
61.9 %38.1 %
Model favourite
C. Norrie
Probability
62 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · D. Svrcina

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPShanghaiRound of 128hard court14:10
C. Norrie
C. Norrie
vs
D. Svrcina
D. Svrcina
2211
Elo
2040
2117
Elo on hard court
1988
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
1
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.53
Odds
2.47

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

C. Norrie
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
D. Svrcina
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
7 – 3
13 – 13
Sets won – lost
17 – 11
3 losses
Current streak
1 win
21-19 (53%)
2026 record
30-25 (55%)
109-83 (57%)
Record on hard court
76-64 (54%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by C. Norrie and D. Svrcina, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

C. Norrie comes in with an Elo of 2211, against 2040 for D. Svrcina: a 171-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 129 points in favour of C. Norrie. C. Norrie won 5 of the last ten matches, D. Svrcina won 7. C. Norrie has one win in the last five matches. D. Svrcina has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make C. Norrie the favourite.

The model gave C. Norrie the win at 62 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Svrcina won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

C. Norrie's last five matches

D. Svrcina's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is C. Norrie's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, D. Svrcina beat B. Harris (4-6 7-6 7-5). In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, C. Norrie wins 50 % (75 of 151), D. Svrcina 47 % (33 of 70). In deciding sets, C. Norrie wins 56 % of the time (117 matches), D. Svrcina 53 % (97 matches). After losing the first set, C. Norrie turned 24 % of matches around (136 occasions), D. Svrcina 19 % (135 occasions). After winning the first set, C. Norrie went on to win 83 % of matches, D. Svrcina 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about C. Norrie – D. Svrcina

Who is the favourite between C. Norrie and D. Svrcina?
The match is over: D. Svrcina won 2-1. Bookmakers make C. Norrie the favourite, priced at 1.53 against 2.47 for D. Svrcina. Pronocast's model had C. Norrie winning at 62 %.
When is the C. Norrie – D. Svrcina match?
On Thursday, 8 October 2026 at 14:10, at the Shanghai tournament (Round of 128, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between C. Norrie and D. Svrcina?
No meeting between C. Norrie and D. Svrcina appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for C. Norrie – D. Svrcina?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 8 October 2026

All matches on 8 October 2026