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D. Back vs M. Joint prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
D. BackM. Joint
17.4 %82.6 %
Model favourite
M. Joint
Probability
83 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · M. Joint

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTASeoulRound of 16hard court07:05
D. Back
D. Back
vs
M. Joint
M. Joint
1852
Elo
2063
1908
Elo on hard court
2008
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
2
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
5.30
Odds
1.14

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

D. Back
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
M. Joint
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
8 – 2
Wins – losses
6 – 4
16 – 6
Sets won – lost
15 – 12
6 wins
Current streak
1 win
6-0 (100%)
2026 record
12-22 (35%)
4-5 (44%)
Record on hard court
56-43 (57%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by D. Back and M. Joint, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Joint comes in with an Elo of 2063, against 1852 for D. Back: a 211-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 100 points in favour of M. Joint. D. Back won 4 of the last ten matches, M. Joint won 6. D. Back has 5 wins in the last five matches. M. Joint has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Joint the favourite.

The model gave M. Joint the win at 83 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Joint won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

D. Back's last five matches

M. Joint's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, D. Back beat Y. Yuan (6-3 4-6 6-1). To reach this round, M. Joint beat X. Yao (2-6 7-6 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by I. Swiatek, who beat E. Alexandrova in the final (1-6 7-6 7-5).

Key numbers

After winning the first set, D. Back went on to win 87 % of matches, M. Joint 80 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about D. Back – M. Joint

Who is the favourite between D. Back and M. Joint?
The match is over: M. Joint won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Joint the favourite, priced at 1.14 against 5.30 for D. Back. Pronocast's model had M. Joint winning at 83 %.
When is the D. Back – M. Joint match?
On Wednesday, 23 September 2026 at 07:05, at the Seoul tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between D. Back and M. Joint?
No meeting between D. Back and M. Joint appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for D. Back – M. Joint?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Seoul

Tournament page

Other matches on 23 September 2026

All matches on 23 September 2026