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D. Chiesa vs L. Ciric Bagaric prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
D. ChiesaL. Ciric Bagaric
56.3 %43.7 %
Model favourite
D. Chiesa
Probability
56 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · L. Ciric Bagaric

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerLjubljanaQualifyingclay14:00
D. Chiesa
D. Chiesa
vs
L. Ciric Bagaric
L. Ciric Bagaric
1848
Elo
1791
1830
Elo on clay
1784
3 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
2
Recent matches
3
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.71
Odds
1.99

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

D. Chiesa
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
L. Ciric Bagaric
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
6 – 4
13 – 12
Sets won – lost
12 – 9
1 loss
Current streak
3 wins
6-6 (50%)
2026 record
6-6 (50%)
11-10 (52%)
Record on clay
15-14 (52%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by D. Chiesa and L. Ciric Bagaric, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

D. Chiesa comes in with an Elo of 1848, against 1791 for L. Ciric Bagaric: a 57-point edge. On clay, the gap is 46 points in favour of D. Chiesa. D. Chiesa won 3 of the last ten matches, L. Ciric Bagaric won 7. D. Chiesa has one win in the last five matches. L. Ciric Bagaric has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each. Bookmakers make D. Chiesa the favourite.

The model gave D. Chiesa the win at 56 %, with a likely score of 2-0. L. Ciric Bagaric won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

D. Chiesa's last five matches

L. Ciric Bagaric's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

Level, 1 win(s) each

Road through the tournament

This is D. Chiesa's first match of the tournament. This is L. Ciric Bagaric's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by K. Juvan, who beat S. Waltert in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

After losing the first set, D. Chiesa turned 33 % of matches around (12 occasions), L. Ciric Bagaric 14 % (22 occasions). After winning the first set, D. Chiesa went on to win 70 % of matches, L. Ciric Bagaric 93 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about D. Chiesa – L. Ciric Bagaric

Who is the favourite between D. Chiesa and L. Ciric Bagaric?
The match is over: L. Ciric Bagaric won 2-1. Bookmakers make D. Chiesa the favourite, priced at 1.71 against 1.99 for L. Ciric Bagaric. Pronocast's model had D. Chiesa winning at 56 %.
When is the D. Chiesa – L. Ciric Bagaric match?
On Monday, 14 September 2026 at 14:00, at the Ljubljana tournament (Qualifying, clay).
What is the head-to-head between D. Chiesa and L. Ciric Bagaric?
Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each.
Where can I see the prediction for D. Chiesa – L. Ciric Bagaric?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Ljubljana

Tournament page

Other matches on 14 September 2026

All matches on 14 September 2026