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D. Salkova vs M. Stoiana prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
D. SalkovaM. Stoiana
34.8 %65.2 %
Model favourite
M. Stoiana
Probability
65 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · M. Stoiana

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTASao PauloRound of 16hard court19:40
D. Salkova
D. Salkova
vs
M. Stoiana
M. Stoiana
1981
Elo
2107
1934
Elo on hard court
1989
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
2
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.70
Odds
1.47

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

D. Salkova
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
M. Stoiana
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
7 – 3
12 – 9
Sets won – lost
15 – 9
1 win
Current streak
1 win
23-23 (50%)
2026 record
23-18 (56%)
27-19 (59%)
Record on hard court
14-15 (48%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by D. Salkova and M. Stoiana, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Stoiana comes in with an Elo of 2107, against 1981 for D. Salkova: a 126-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 55 points in favour of M. Stoiana. D. Salkova won 5 of the last ten matches, M. Stoiana won 7. D. Salkova has 2 wins in the last five matches. M. Stoiana has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Stoiana the favourite.

The model gave M. Stoiana the win at 65 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Stoiana won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

D. Salkova's last five matches

M. Stoiana's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, D. Salkova beat J. Bouzas Maneiro (7-5 6-1). To reach this round, M. Stoiana beat C. Liu (6-3 7-5). In 2025, the tournament was won by T. Rakotomanga Rajaonah, who beat J. Tjen in the final (6-3 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, D. Salkova wins 45 % (14 of 31), M. Stoiana 69 % (11 of 16). In deciding sets, D. Salkova wins 56 % of the time (34 matches), M. Stoiana 46 % (24 matches). After losing the first set, D. Salkova turned 18 % of matches around (50 occasions), M. Stoiana 32 % (19 occasions). After winning the first set, D. Salkova went on to win 84 % of matches, M. Stoiana 68 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about D. Salkova – M. Stoiana

Who is the favourite between D. Salkova and M. Stoiana?
The match is over: M. Stoiana won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Stoiana the favourite, priced at 1.47 against 2.70 for D. Salkova. Pronocast's model had M. Stoiana winning at 65 %.
When is the D. Salkova – M. Stoiana match?
On Thursday, 17 September 2026 at 19:40, at the Sao Paulo tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between D. Salkova and M. Stoiana?
No meeting between D. Salkova and M. Stoiana appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for D. Salkova – M. Stoiana?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Sao Paulo

Tournament page

Other matches on 17 September 2026

All matches on 17 September 2026