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A. Blinkova vs A. Charaeva prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. BlinkovaA. Charaeva
62.7 %37.3 %
Model favourite
A. Blinkova
Probability
63 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · A. Blinkova

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTASao PauloQuarter-finalhard court20:05
A. Blinkova
A. Blinkova
vs
A. Charaeva
A. Charaeva
2118
Elo
2113
2041
Elo on hard court
1922
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
7
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.49
Odds
2.36

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Blinkova
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
A. Charaeva
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
6 – 4
14 – 8
Sets won – lost
13 – 11
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
26-28 (48%)
2026 record
32-21 (60%)
75-86 (47%)
Record on hard court
18-18 (50%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Blinkova and A. Charaeva, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Both players come in with almost the same Elo (2118 against 2113): nothing separates them in the model's rating. On hard court, the gap is 118 points in favour of A. Blinkova. A. Blinkova won 6 of the last ten matches, A. Charaeva won 6. A. Blinkova has 4 wins in the last five matches. A. Charaeva has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make A. Blinkova the favourite.

The model gave A. Blinkova the win at 63 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Blinkova won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Blinkova's last five matches

A. Charaeva's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Blinkova beat C. Y. Lee (6-1 6-3), then V. Valdmannova (6-3 6-0). To reach this round, A. Charaeva beat X. You (3-6 7-6 6-3), then E. Avanesyan (6-2 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by T. Rakotomanga Rajaonah, who beat J. Tjen in the final (6-3 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Blinkova wins 59 % (37 of 63), A. Charaeva 46 % (12 of 26). In deciding sets, A. Blinkova wins 55 % of the time (88 matches), A. Charaeva 57 % (30 matches). After losing the first set, A. Blinkova turned 17 % of matches around (146 occasions), A. Charaeva 26 % (46 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Blinkova went on to win 85 % of matches, A. Charaeva 87 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Blinkova – A. Charaeva

Who is the favourite between A. Blinkova and A. Charaeva?
The match is over: A. Blinkova won 2-0. Bookmakers make A. Blinkova the favourite, priced at 1.49 against 2.36 for A. Charaeva. Pronocast's model had A. Blinkova winning at 63 %.
When is the A. Blinkova – A. Charaeva match?
On Friday, 18 September 2026 at 20:05, at the Sao Paulo tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Blinkova and A. Charaeva?
No meeting between A. Blinkova and A. Charaeva appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Blinkova – A. Charaeva?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Sao Paulo

Tournament page

Other matches on 18 September 2026

All matches on 18 September 2026