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K. Muchova vs N. Bartunkova prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
K. MuchovaN. Bartunkova
70.0 %30.0 %
Model favourite
K. Muchova
Probability
70 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · N. Bartunkova

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingQuarter-finalhard court09:10
K. Muchova
K. Muchova
vs
N. Bartunkova
N. Bartunkova
2495
Elo
2307
2378
Elo on hard court
2181
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
5
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.39
Odds
2.92

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

K. Muchova
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
N. Bartunkova
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
8 – 2
Wins – losses
8 – 2
17 – 7
Sets won – lost
17 – 8
5 wins
Current streak
3 wins
40-10 (80%)
2026 record
36-20 (64%)
95-36 (73%)
Record on hard court
31-16 (66%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by K. Muchova and N. Bartunkova, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

K. Muchova comes in with an Elo of 2495, against 2307 for N. Bartunkova: a 188-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 197 points in favour of K. Muchova. K. Muchova won 8 of the last ten matches, N. Bartunkova won 8. K. Muchova has 5 wins in the last five matches. N. Bartunkova has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make K. Muchova the favourite.

The model gave K. Muchova the win at 70 %, with a likely score of 2-0. N. Bartunkova won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

K. Muchova's last five matches

N. Bartunkova's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, K. Muchova beat K. Boulter (7-6 6-1), then L. Samsonova (4-6 6-4 6-2), then N. Osaka (7-5 1-6 7-6). To reach this round, N. Bartunkova beat M. Frech (6-2 6-2), then A. Sabalenka (6-4 6-3), then S. Kraus (6-0 4-6 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, K. Muchova wins 67 % (39 of 58), N. Bartunkova 29 % (7 of 24). In deciding sets, K. Muchova wins 58 % of the time (71 matches), N. Bartunkova 57 % (35 matches). After losing the first set, K. Muchova turned 28 % of matches around (67 occasions), N. Bartunkova 28 % (29 occasions). After winning the first set, K. Muchova went on to win 91 % of matches, N. Bartunkova 80 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about K. Muchova – N. Bartunkova

Who is the favourite between K. Muchova and N. Bartunkova?
The match is over: N. Bartunkova won 2-0. Bookmakers make K. Muchova the favourite, priced at 1.39 against 2.92 for N. Bartunkova. Pronocast's model had K. Muchova winning at 70 %.
When is the K. Muchova – N. Bartunkova match?
On Thursday, 8 October 2026 at 09:10, at the Beijing tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between K. Muchova and N. Bartunkova?
No meeting between K. Muchova and N. Bartunkova appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for K. Muchova – N. Bartunkova?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 8 October 2026

All matches on 8 October 2026