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E. Jones vs Y. Ma prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
E. JonesY. Ma
68.9 %31.1 %
Model favourite
E. Jones
Probability
69 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · Y. Ma

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTASeoulRound of 32hard court07:25
E. Jones
E. Jones
vs
Y. Ma
Y. Ma
1985
Elo
1839
1956
Elo on hard court
1820
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
0
Recent matches
4
–
Head-to-head
Edge
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

E. Jones
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
Y. Ma
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
4 – 6
Wins – losses
4 – 6
11 – 15
Sets won – lost
10 – 13
3 losses
Current streak
2 wins
10-15 (40%)
2026 record
6-8 (43%)
11-18 (38%)
Record on hard court
23-21 (52%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by E. Jones and Y. Ma, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

E. Jones comes in with an Elo of 1985, against 1839 for Y. Ma: a 146-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 136 points in favour of E. Jones. E. Jones won 4 of the last ten matches, Y. Ma won 5. E. Jones has 2 wins in the last five matches. Y. Ma has 3 wins in the last five matches. In their recent head-to-head meetings, the edge goes to Y. Ma. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave E. Jones the win at 69 %, with a likely score of 2-0. Y. Ma won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

E. Jones's last five matches

Y. Ma's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is E. Jones's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, Y. Ma beat C. Zhao (6-3 6-0), then E. Lee (6-3 6-1). In 2025, the tournament was won by I. Swiatek, who beat E. Alexandrova in the final (1-6 7-6 7-5).

Key numbers

In deciding sets, E. Jones wins 54 % of the time (13 matches), Y. Ma 47 % (17 matches). After losing the first set, E. Jones turned 16 % of matches around (25 occasions), Y. Ma 17 % (29 occasions). After winning the first set, E. Jones went on to win 85 % of matches, Y. Ma 76 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about E. Jones – Y. Ma

Who is the favourite between E. Jones and Y. Ma?
The match is over: Y. Ma won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had E. Jones winning at 69 %.
When is the E. Jones – Y. Ma match?
On Tuesday, 22 September 2026 at 07:25, at the Seoul tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between E. Jones and Y. Ma?
No meeting between E. Jones and Y. Ma appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for E. Jones – Y. Ma?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Seoul

Tournament page

Other matches on 22 September 2026

All matches on 22 September 2026