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E. Lys vs N. Podoroska prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
E. LysN. Podoroska
65.8 %34.2 %
Model favourite
E. Lys
Probability
66 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · N. Podoroska

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTASao PauloRound of 16hard court22:50
E. Lys
E. Lys
vs
N. Podoroska
N. Podoroska
2110
Elo
1985
2049
Elo on hard court
1949
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
2
Recent matches
4
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.47
Odds
2.72

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

E. Lys
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
N. Podoroska
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
4 – 6
Wins – losses
4 – 6
10 – 14
Sets won – lost
11 – 14
1 win
Current streak
1 win
8-15 (35%)
2026 record
4-6 (40%)
62-38 (62%)
Record on hard court
44-44 (50%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by E. Lys and N. Podoroska, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

E. Lys comes in with an Elo of 2110, against 1985 for N. Podoroska: a 125-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 99 points in favour of E. Lys. E. Lys won 4 of the last ten matches, N. Podoroska won 5. E. Lys has 2 wins in the last five matches. N. Podoroska has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, E. Lys leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make E. Lys the favourite.

The model gave E. Lys the win at 66 %, with a likely score of 2-0. N. Podoroska won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

E. Lys's last five matches

N. Podoroska's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

E. Lys leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, E. Lys beat G. Ce (6-1 5-7 7-5). To reach this round, N. Podoroska beat L. Stefanini (6-3 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by T. Rakotomanga Rajaonah, who beat J. Tjen in the final (6-3 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, E. Lys wins 50 % (13 of 26), N. Podoroska 49 % (19 of 39). In deciding sets, E. Lys wins 52 % of the time (56 matches), N. Podoroska 53 % (53 matches). After losing the first set, E. Lys turned 20 % of matches around (71 occasions), N. Podoroska 20 % (82 occasions). After winning the first set, E. Lys went on to win 85 % of matches, N. Podoroska 81 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about E. Lys – N. Podoroska

Who is the favourite between E. Lys and N. Podoroska?
The match is over: N. Podoroska won 2-0. Bookmakers make E. Lys the favourite, priced at 1.47 against 2.72 for N. Podoroska. Pronocast's model had E. Lys winning at 66 %.
When is the E. Lys – N. Podoroska match?
On Thursday, 17 September 2026 at 22:50, at the Sao Paulo tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between E. Lys and N. Podoroska?
Since 2020, E. Lys leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for E. Lys – N. Podoroska?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Sao Paulo

Tournament page

Other matches on 17 September 2026

All matches on 17 September 2026