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F. Romano vs R. Peniston prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
F. RomanoR. Peniston
55.6 %44.4 %
Model favourite
F. Romano
Probability
56 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · F. Romano

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerMouilleron-Le-CaptifQualifyinghard court12:50
F. Romano
F. Romano
vs
R. Peniston
R. Peniston
1816
Elo
1839
1865
Elo on hard court
1792
3 / 10
Form (last 10)
3 / 10
3
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.70
Odds
1.98

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

F. Romano
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
R. Peniston
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
3 – 7
Wins – losses
1 – 9
7 – 15
Sets won – lost
6 – 18
1 win
Current streak
1 win
28-21 (57%)
2026 record
1-9 (10%)
12-6 (67%)
Record on hard court
91-80 (53%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by F. Romano and R. Peniston, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

R. Peniston comes in with an Elo of 1839, against 1816 for F. Romano: a 23-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 73 points in favour of F. Romano. F. Romano won 3 of the last ten matches, R. Peniston won 3. F. Romano has one win in the last five matches. R. Peniston has one win in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make F. Romano the favourite.

The model gave F. Romano the win at 56 %, with a likely score of 2-0. F. Romano won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

F. Romano's last five matches

R. Peniston's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, F. Romano beat K. De Schepper (6-4 6-4). To reach this round, R. Peniston beat J. Sels (6-4 6-1). In 2025, the tournament was won by N. Budkov Kjaer, who beat P. Kypson in the final (6-0 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, F. Romano wins 45 % (17 of 38), R. Peniston 51 % (33 of 65). In deciding sets, F. Romano wins 44 % of the time (32 matches), R. Peniston 52 % (82 matches). After losing the first set, F. Romano turned 14 % of matches around (42 occasions), R. Peniston 18 % (111 occasions). After winning the first set, F. Romano went on to win 77 % of matches, R. Peniston 79 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about F. Romano – R. Peniston

Who is the favourite between F. Romano and R. Peniston?
The match is over: F. Romano won 2-0. Bookmakers make F. Romano the favourite, priced at 1.70 against 1.98 for R. Peniston. Pronocast's model had F. Romano winning at 56 %.
When is the F. Romano – R. Peniston match?
On Monday, 28 September 2026 at 12:50, at the Mouilleron-Le-Captif tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between F. Romano and R. Peniston?
No meeting between F. Romano and R. Peniston appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for F. Romano – R. Peniston?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Mouilleron-Le-Captif

Tournament page

Other matches on 28 September 2026

All matches on 28 September 2026