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F. Sun vs A. Galarneau prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
F. SunA. Galarneau
29.4 %70.6 %
Model favourite
A. Galarneau
Probability
71 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · F. Sun

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerGuangzhou 2Round of 32hard court09:40
F. Sun
F. Sun
vs
A. Galarneau
A. Galarneau
1820
Elo
1990
1823
Elo on hard court
1890
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
3
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.97
Odds
1.36

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

F. Sun
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
A. Galarneau
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
5 – 5
10 – 13
Sets won – lost
11 – 11
2 losses
Current streak
1 loss
24-23 (51%)
2026 record
32-23 (58%)
61-65 (48%)
Record on hard court
138-108 (56%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by F. Sun and A. Galarneau, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Galarneau comes in with an Elo of 1990, against 1820 for F. Sun: a 171-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 67 points in favour of A. Galarneau. F. Sun won 5 of the last ten matches, A. Galarneau won 5. F. Sun has 2 wins in the last five matches. A. Galarneau has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make A. Galarneau the favourite.

The model gave A. Galarneau the win at 71 %, with a likely score of 2-0. F. Sun won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

F. Sun's last five matches

A. Galarneau's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is F. Sun's first match of the tournament. This is A. Galarneau's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by J. M. Cerundolo, who beat A. Tabilo in the final (6-2 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, F. Sun wins 38 % (16 of 42), A. Galarneau 53 % (72 of 136). In deciding sets, F. Sun wins 45 % of the time (47 matches), A. Galarneau 49 % (121 matches). After losing the first set, F. Sun turned 20 % of matches around (71 occasions), A. Galarneau 17 % (136 occasions). After winning the first set, F. Sun went on to win 77 % of matches, A. Galarneau 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about F. Sun – A. Galarneau

Who is the favourite between F. Sun and A. Galarneau?
The match is over: F. Sun won 2-1. Bookmakers make A. Galarneau the favourite, priced at 1.36 against 2.97 for F. Sun. Pronocast's model had A. Galarneau winning at 71 %.
When is the F. Sun – A. Galarneau match?
On Tuesday, 15 September 2026 at 09:40, at the Guangzhou 2 tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between F. Sun and A. Galarneau?
No meeting between F. Sun and A. Galarneau appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for F. Sun – A. Galarneau?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Guangzhou 2

Tournament page

Other matches on 15 September 2026

All matches on 15 September 2026