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F. Tabacco vs D. Rincon prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
F. TabaccoD. Rincon
28.6 %71.4 %
Model favourite
D. Rincon
Probability
71 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · D. Rincon

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPortoRound of 32hard court12:10
F. Tabacco
F. Tabacco
vs
D. Rincon
D. Rincon
1851
Elo
1925
1813
Elo on hard court
1842
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
9
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
3.00
Odds
1.31

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

F. Tabacco
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
D. Rincon
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
6 – 4
Wins – losses
4 – 6
14 – 14
Sets won – lost
10 – 14
2 wins
Current streak
3 losses
6-3 (67%)
2026 record
19-21 (48%)
5-3 (63%)
Record on hard court
28-34 (45%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by F. Tabacco and D. Rincon, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

D. Rincon comes in with an Elo of 1925, against 1851 for F. Tabacco: a 74-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 29 points in favour of D. Rincon. F. Tabacco won 7 of the last ten matches, D. Rincon won 4. F. Tabacco has 4 wins in the last five matches. D. Rincon has one win in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make D. Rincon the favourite.

The model gave D. Rincon the win at 71 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Rincon won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

F. Tabacco's last five matches

D. Rincon's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, F. Tabacco beat R. Izquierdo Luque (1-6 6-4 6-4), then A. Sanchez Quilez (6-0 4-6 6-1). This is D. Rincon's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat F. Maestrelli in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

In deciding sets, F. Tabacco wins 64 % of the time (14 matches), D. Rincon 59 % (82 matches). After losing the first set, F. Tabacco turned 29 % of matches around (21 occasions), D. Rincon 21 % (123 occasions).

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about F. Tabacco – D. Rincon

Who is the favourite between F. Tabacco and D. Rincon?
The match is over: D. Rincon won 2-0. Bookmakers make D. Rincon the favourite, priced at 1.31 against 3.00 for F. Tabacco. Pronocast's model had D. Rincon winning at 71 %.
When is the F. Tabacco – D. Rincon match?
On Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at 12:10, at the Porto tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between F. Tabacco and D. Rincon?
No meeting between F. Tabacco and D. Rincon appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for F. Tabacco – D. Rincon?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Porto

Tournament page

Other matches on 29 September 2026

All matches on 29 September 2026