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H. Hurkacz vs J. Duckworth prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
H. HurkaczJ. Duckworth
68.4 %31.6 %
Model favourite
H. Hurkacz
Probability
68 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · H. Hurkacz

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPShanghaiRound of 128hard court07:45
H. Hurkacz
H. Hurkacz
vs
J. Duckworth
J. Duckworth
2331
Elo
2063
2196
Elo on hard court
2000
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
8
Recent matches
1
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.41
Odds
2.87

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

H. Hurkacz
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
J. Duckworth
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
8 – 2
Wins – losses
6 – 4
18 – 10
Sets won – lost
15 – 11
3 wins
Current streak
3 losses
32-19 (63%)
2026 record
25-24 (51%)
127-76 (63%)
Record on hard court
168-113 (60%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by H. Hurkacz and J. Duckworth, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

H. Hurkacz comes in with an Elo of 2331, against 2063 for J. Duckworth: a 268-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 196 points in favour of H. Hurkacz. H. Hurkacz won 8 of the last ten matches, J. Duckworth won 6. H. Hurkacz has 4 wins in the last five matches. J. Duckworth has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, H. Hurkacz leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make H. Hurkacz the favourite.

The model gave H. Hurkacz the win at 68 %, with a likely score of 2-0. H. Hurkacz won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

H. Hurkacz's last five matches

J. Duckworth's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

H. Hurkacz leads 2 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is H. Hurkacz's first match of the tournament. This is J. Duckworth's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, H. Hurkacz wins 53 % (127 of 238), J. Duckworth 50 % (96 of 191). In deciding sets, H. Hurkacz wins 56 % of the time (132 matches), J. Duckworth 55 % (130 matches). After losing the first set, H. Hurkacz turned 32 % of matches around (114 occasions), J. Duckworth 25 % (171 occasions). After winning the first set, H. Hurkacz went on to win 83 % of matches, J. Duckworth 86 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about H. Hurkacz – J. Duckworth

Who is the favourite between H. Hurkacz and J. Duckworth?
The match is over: H. Hurkacz won 2-0. Bookmakers make H. Hurkacz the favourite, priced at 1.41 against 2.87 for J. Duckworth. Pronocast's model had H. Hurkacz winning at 68 %.
When is the H. Hurkacz – J. Duckworth match?
On Thursday, 8 October 2026 at 07:45, at the Shanghai tournament (Round of 128, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between H. Hurkacz and J. Duckworth?
Since 2020, H. Hurkacz leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for H. Hurkacz – J. Duckworth?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 8 October 2026

All matches on 8 October 2026