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I. Ivashka vs M. Sharipov prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
I. IvashkaM. Sharipov
49.1 %50.9 %
Model favourite
M. Sharipov
Probability
51 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · I. Ivashka

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerShanghaiFinalhard court10:05
I. Ivashka
I. Ivashka
vs
M. Sharipov
M. Sharipov
1971
Elo
1951
1950
Elo on hard court
1983
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
7
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

I. Ivashka
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
M. Sharipov
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
8 – 2
Wins – losses
7 – 3
16 – 8
Sets won – lost
15 – 7
4 wins
Current streak
4 wins
27-11 (71%)
2026 record
20-10 (67%)
63-51 (55%)
Record on hard court
44-20 (69%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by I. Ivashka and M. Sharipov, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

I. Ivashka comes in with an Elo of 1971, against 1951 for M. Sharipov: a 20-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 33 points in favour of M. Sharipov. I. Ivashka won 8 of the last ten matches, M. Sharipov won 7. I. Ivashka has 4 wins in the last five matches. M. Sharipov has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave M. Sharipov the win at 51 %, with a likely score of 2-0. I. Ivashka won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

I. Ivashka's last five matches

M. Sharipov's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, I. Ivashka beat Y. H. Hsu (6-3 6-3), then B. Tomic (6-4 4-6 6-2), then Y. Zhou (6-3 6-3), then L. Castelnuovo (6-3 6-4). To reach this round, M. Sharipov beat Y. Watanuki (6-7 7-5 6-2), then T. Daniel (7-5 7-6), then O. Jasika (6-4 6-4), then P. Kotov (6-3 7-5). In 2025, the tournament was won by G. Zeppieri, who beat Y. Uchiyama in the final (7-6 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, I. Ivashka wins 43 % (29 of 67), M. Sharipov 54 % (14 of 26). In deciding sets, I. Ivashka wins 54 % of the time (67 matches), M. Sharipov 62 % (26 matches). After losing the first set, I. Ivashka turned 22 % of matches around (87 occasions), M. Sharipov 21 % (34 occasions). After winning the first set, I. Ivashka went on to win 85 % of matches, M. Sharipov 88 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about I. Ivashka – M. Sharipov

Who is the favourite between I. Ivashka and M. Sharipov?
The match is over: I. Ivashka won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had M. Sharipov winning at 51 %.
When is the I. Ivashka – M. Sharipov match?
On Sunday, 13 September 2026 at 10:05, at the Shanghai tournament (Final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between I. Ivashka and M. Sharipov?
No meeting between I. Ivashka and M. Sharipov appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for I. Ivashka – M. Sharipov?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 13 September 2026

All matches on 13 September 2026