P. Kotov vs M. Sharipov prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
P. KotovM. Sharipov
52.0 %48.0 %
Model favourite
P. Kotov
Probability
52 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · M. Sharipov

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerShanghaiSemi-finalhard court12:40
2022
Elo
1931
2056
Elo on hard court
1958
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
3
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.78
Odds
1.94

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

P. Kotov
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
M. Sharipov
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
7 – 3
13 – 14
Sets won – lost
15 – 7
3 wins
Current streak
3 wins
23-7 (77%)
2026 record
19-10 (66%)
92-72 (56%)
Record on hard court
43-20 (68%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by P. Kotov and M. Sharipov, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

P. Kotov comes in with an Elo of 2022, against 1931 for M. Sharipov: a 91-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 98 points in favour of P. Kotov. P. Kotov won 5 of the last ten matches, M. Sharipov won 7. P. Kotov has 4 wins in the last five matches. M. Sharipov has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make P. Kotov the favourite.

The model gave P. Kotov the win at 52 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Sharipov won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

P. Kotov's last five matches

M. Sharipov's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, P. Kotov beat E. Ymer (3-6 6-3 7-6), then Ja. Delaney (7-6 7-6), then A. Galarneau (3-6 6-1 6-1). To reach this round, M. Sharipov beat Y. Watanuki (6-7 7-5 6-2), then T. Daniel (7-5 7-6), then O. Jasika (6-4 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by G. Zeppieri, who beat Y. Uchiyama in the final (7-6 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, P. Kotov wins 54 % (68 of 126), M. Sharipov 54 % (14 of 26). In deciding sets, P. Kotov wins 54 % of the time (101 matches), M. Sharipov 62 % (26 matches). After losing the first set, P. Kotov turned 24 % of matches around (135 occasions), M. Sharipov 21 % (34 occasions). After winning the first set, P. Kotov went on to win 83 % of matches, M. Sharipov 88 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about P. Kotov – M. Sharipov

Who is the favourite between P. Kotov and M. Sharipov?
The match is over: M. Sharipov won 2-0. Bookmakers make P. Kotov the favourite, priced at 1.78 against 1.94 for M. Sharipov. Pronocast's model had P. Kotov winning at 52 %.
When is the P. Kotov – M. Sharipov match?
On Saturday, 12 September 2026 at 12:40, at the Shanghai tournament (Semi-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between P. Kotov and M. Sharipov?
No meeting between P. Kotov and M. Sharipov appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for P. Kotov – M. Sharipov?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 12 September 2026

All matches on 12 September 2026