Wu Tung-Lin vs L. Castelnuovo prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
Wu Tung-LinL. Castelnuovo
71.3 %28.7 %
Model favourite
Wu Tung-Lin
Probability
71 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · L. Castelnuovo

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerShanghaiRound of 16hard court13:00
Wu Tung-Lin
Wu Tung-Lin
vs
1872
Elo
1760
1853
Elo on hard court
1756
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
2
Recent matches
5
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.32
Odds
3.18

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

Wu Tung-Lin
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
L. Castelnuovo
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
3 – 7
Wins – losses
4 – 6
10 – 15
Sets won – lost
11 – 13
1 win
Current streak
2 wins
22-13 (63%)
2026 record
8-12 (40%)
129-108 (54%)
Record on hard court
22-20 (52%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by Wu Tung-Lin and L. Castelnuovo, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Wu Tung-Lin comes in with an Elo of 1872, against 1760 for L. Castelnuovo: a 112-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 97 points in favour of Wu Tung-Lin. Wu Tung-Lin won 4 of the last ten matches, L. Castelnuovo won 6. Wu Tung-Lin has one win in the last five matches. L. Castelnuovo has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make Wu Tung-Lin the favourite.

The model gave Wu Tung-Lin the win at 71 %, with a likely score of 2-0. L. Castelnuovo won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

Wu Tung-Lin's last five matches

L. Castelnuovo's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, Wu Tung-Lin beat A. Binda (7-6 6-2). To reach this round, L. Castelnuovo beat T. Huang (6-4 6-2), then C. H. Tseng (3-6 7-6 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by G. Zeppieri, who beat Y. Uchiyama in the final (7-6 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, Wu Tung-Lin wins 46 % (49 of 107), L. Castelnuovo 54 % (20 of 37). In deciding sets, Wu Tung-Lin wins 43 % of the time (100 matches), L. Castelnuovo 50 % (22 matches). After losing the first set, Wu Tung-Lin turned 15 % of matches around (117 occasions), L. Castelnuovo 17 % (35 occasions). After winning the first set, Wu Tung-Lin went on to win 81 % of matches, L. Castelnuovo 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about Wu Tung-Lin – L. Castelnuovo

Who is the favourite between Wu Tung-Lin and L. Castelnuovo?
The match is over: L. Castelnuovo won 2-0. Bookmakers make Wu Tung-Lin the favourite, priced at 1.32 against 3.18 for L. Castelnuovo. Pronocast's model had Wu Tung-Lin winning at 71 %.
When is the Wu Tung-Lin – L. Castelnuovo match?
On Thursday, 10 September 2026 at 13:00, at the Shanghai tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between Wu Tung-Lin and L. Castelnuovo?
No meeting between Wu Tung-Lin and L. Castelnuovo appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for Wu Tung-Lin – L. Castelnuovo?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 10 September 2026

All matches on 10 September 2026