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J. Burrage vs M. Hontama prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
J. BurrageM. Hontama
53.5 %46.5 %
Model favourite
J. Burrage
Probability
54 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · M. Hontama

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingQualifyinghard court09:05
J. Burrage
J. Burrage
vs
M. Hontama
M. Hontama
1861
Elo
1943
1832
Elo on hard court
1865
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
1
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.78
Odds
1.92

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

J. Burrage
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
M. Hontama
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
2 – 8
Wins – losses
6 – 4
7 – 16
Sets won – lost
14 – 9
1 win
Current streak
1 win
1-3 (25%)
2026 record
16-14 (53%)
30-40 (43%)
Record on hard court
60-60 (50%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by J. Burrage and M. Hontama, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Hontama comes in with an Elo of 1943, against 1861 for J. Burrage: a 81-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 33 points in favour of M. Hontama. J. Burrage won 6 of the last ten matches, M. Hontama won 6. J. Burrage has one win in the last five matches. M. Hontama has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make J. Burrage the favourite.

The model gave J. Burrage the win at 54 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Hontama won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

J. Burrage's last five matches

M. Hontama's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, J. Burrage beat R. Sramkova (6-4 6-4). To reach this round, M. Hontama beat A. Panova (7-5 6-1). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, J. Burrage wins 47 % (16 of 34), M. Hontama 50 % (19 of 38). In deciding sets, J. Burrage wins 36 % of the time (39 matches), M. Hontama 41 % (54 matches). After losing the first set, J. Burrage turned 19 % of matches around (58 occasions), M. Hontama 19 % (83 occasions). After winning the first set, J. Burrage went on to win 68 % of matches, M. Hontama 81 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about J. Burrage – M. Hontama

Who is the favourite between J. Burrage and M. Hontama?
The match is over: M. Hontama won 2-1. Bookmakers make J. Burrage the favourite, priced at 1.78 against 1.92 for M. Hontama. Pronocast's model had J. Burrage winning at 54 %.
When is the J. Burrage – M. Hontama match?
On Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at 09:05, at the Beijing tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between J. Burrage and M. Hontama?
No meeting between J. Burrage and M. Hontama appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for J. Burrage – M. Hontama?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 29 September 2026

All matches on 29 September 2026