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K. Volynets vs E. Mertens prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
K. VolynetsE. Mertens
48.6 %51.4 %
Model favourite
E. Mertens
Probability
51 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · E. Mertens

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingRound of 64hard court05:05
K. Volynets
K. Volynets
vs
E. Mertens
E. Mertens
2225
Elo
2272
2118
Elo on hard court
2122
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
4
Recent matches
1
–
Head-to-head
Edge
1.91
Odds
1.75

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

K. Volynets
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
E. Mertens
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
8 – 2
Wins – losses
5 – 5
17 – 4
Sets won – lost
13 – 12
1 win
Current streak
2 losses
39-22 (64%)
2026 record
29-19 (60%)
92-71 (56%)
Record on hard court
115-77 (60%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by K. Volynets and E. Mertens, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

E. Mertens comes in with an Elo of 2272, against 2225 for K. Volynets: a 47-point edge. K. Volynets won 8 of the last ten matches, E. Mertens won 5. K. Volynets has 3 wins in the last five matches. E. Mertens has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, E. Mertens leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make E. Mertens the favourite.

The model gave E. Mertens the win at 51 %, with a likely score of 2-0. E. Mertens won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

K. Volynets's last five matches

E. Mertens's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

E. Mertens leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, K. Volynets beat R. Montgomery (7-5 7-5). This is E. Mertens's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, K. Volynets wins 49 % (28 of 57), E. Mertens 53 % (31 of 58). In deciding sets, K. Volynets wins 49 % of the time (114 matches), E. Mertens 49 % (84 matches). After losing the first set, K. Volynets turned 28 % of matches around (119 occasions), E. Mertens 23 % (118 occasions). After winning the first set, K. Volynets went on to win 80 % of matches, E. Mertens 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about K. Volynets – E. Mertens

Who is the favourite between K. Volynets and E. Mertens?
The match is over: E. Mertens won 2-1. Bookmakers make E. Mertens the favourite, priced at 1.75 against 1.91 for K. Volynets. Pronocast's model had E. Mertens winning at 51 %.
When is the K. Volynets – E. Mertens match?
On Saturday, 3 October 2026 at 05:05, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 64, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between K. Volynets and E. Mertens?
Since 2020, E. Mertens leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for K. Volynets – E. Mertens?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 3 October 2026

All matches on 3 October 2026