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A. De Minaur vs Q. Halys prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. De MinaurQ. Halys
71.6 %28.4 %
Model favourite
A. De Minaur
Probability
72 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · A. De Minaur

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPBeijingRound of 16hard court05:05
A. De Minaur
A. De Minaur
vs
Q. Halys
Q. Halys
2343
Elo
2181
2255
Elo on hard court
2050
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
4
Recent matches
3
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.27
Odds
3.00

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. De Minaur
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
Q. Halys
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
5 – 5
16 – 9
Sets won – lost
17 – 13
4 wins
Current streak
1 win
37-18 (67%)
2026 record
35-27 (56%)
146-78 (65%)
Record on hard court
138-100 (58%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. De Minaur and Q. Halys, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. De Minaur comes in with an Elo of 2343, against 2181 for Q. Halys: a 163-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 205 points in favour of A. De Minaur. A. De Minaur won 7 of the last ten matches, Q. Halys won 5. A. De Minaur has 4 wins in the last five matches. Q. Halys has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each. Bookmakers make A. De Minaur the favourite.

The model gave A. De Minaur the win at 72 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. De Minaur won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. De Minaur's last five matches

Q. Halys's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

Level, 1 win(s) each

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. De Minaur beat M. Navone (7-6 6-2). To reach this round, Q. Halys beat I. Buse (6-1 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by J. Sinner, who beat L. Tien in the final (6-2 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. De Minaur wins 59 % (72 of 122), Q. Halys 55 % (131 of 240). In deciding sets, A. De Minaur wins 58 % of the time (101 matches), Q. Halys 53 % (131 matches). After losing the first set, A. De Minaur turned 28 % of matches around (137 occasions), Q. Halys 31 % (154 occasions). After winning the first set, A. De Minaur went on to win 88 % of matches, Q. Halys 77 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. De Minaur – Q. Halys

Who is the favourite between A. De Minaur and Q. Halys?
The match is over: A. De Minaur won 2-1. Bookmakers make A. De Minaur the favourite, priced at 1.27 against 3.00 for Q. Halys. Pronocast's model had A. De Minaur winning at 72 %.
When is the A. De Minaur – Q. Halys match?
On Saturday, 3 October 2026 at 05:05, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. De Minaur and Q. Halys?
Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each.
Where can I see the prediction for A. De Minaur – Q. Halys?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 3 October 2026

All matches on 3 October 2026