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P. Stearns vs S. Stephens prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
P. StearnsS. Stephens
60.8 %39.2 %
Model favourite
P. Stearns
Probability
61 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · P. Stearns

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTAGuadalajaraQuarter-finalhard court04:45
P. Stearns
P. Stearns
vs
S. Stephens
S. Stephens
2150
Elo
2108
2064
Elo on hard court
2002
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
2
Recent matches
2
–
Head-to-head
Edge
1.50
Odds
2.26

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

P. Stearns
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
S. Stephens
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
6 – 4
14 – 11
Sets won – lost
13 – 8
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
23-20 (53%)
2026 record
17-17 (50%)
54-61 (47%)
Record on hard court
48-63 (43%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by P. Stearns and S. Stephens, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

P. Stearns comes in with an Elo of 2150, against 2108 for S. Stephens: a 42-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 62 points in favour of P. Stearns. P. Stearns won 5 of the last ten matches, S. Stephens won 6. P. Stearns has 3 wins in the last five matches. S. Stephens has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, S. Stephens leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make P. Stearns the favourite.

The model gave P. Stearns the win at 61 %, with a likely score of 2-0. P. Stearns won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

P. Stearns's last five matches

S. Stephens's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

S. Stephens leads 2 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, P. Stearns beat E. Arango (6-3 6-2), then D. Parry (6-2 7-5). To reach this round, S. Stephens beat C. Monnet (6-4 7-6), then J. Tjen (7-6 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by I. Jovic, who beat E. Arango in the final (6-4 6-1).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, P. Stearns wins 51 % (27 of 53), S. Stephens 46 % (13 of 28). In deciding sets, P. Stearns wins 43 % of the time (72 matches), S. Stephens 47 % (57 matches). After losing the first set, P. Stearns turned 15 % of matches around (82 occasions), S. Stephens 19 % (90 occasions). After winning the first set, P. Stearns went on to win 81 % of matches, S. Stephens 79 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about P. Stearns – S. Stephens

Who is the favourite between P. Stearns and S. Stephens?
The match is over: P. Stearns won 2-0. Bookmakers make P. Stearns the favourite, priced at 1.50 against 2.26 for S. Stephens. Pronocast's model had P. Stearns winning at 61 %.
When is the P. Stearns – S. Stephens match?
On Friday, 18 September 2026 at 04:45, at the Guadalajara tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between P. Stearns and S. Stephens?
Since 2020, S. Stephens leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for P. Stearns – S. Stephens?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Guadalajara

Tournament page

Other matches on 18 September 2026

All matches on 18 September 2026