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M. Zheng vs T. Svajda prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. ZhengT. Svajda
69.6 %30.4 %
Model favourite
M. Zheng
Probability
70 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · M. Zheng

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerTiburonRound of 16hard court01:10
M. Zheng
M. Zheng
vs
T. Svajda
T. Svajda
2206
Elo
1952
2141
Elo on hard court
1913
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
3
Recent matches
1
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.29
Odds
3.27

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Zheng
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
T. Svajda
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
8 – 2
Wins – losses
5 – 5
20 – 10
Sets won – lost
13 – 12
2 wins
Current streak
1 win
28-13 (68%)
2026 record
8-11 (42%)
59-26 (69%)
Record on hard court
24-28 (46%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Zheng and T. Svajda, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Zheng comes in with an Elo of 2206, against 1952 for T. Svajda: a 254-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 228 points in favour of M. Zheng. M. Zheng won 7 of the last ten matches, T. Svajda won 5. M. Zheng has 4 wins in the last five matches. T. Svajda has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, M. Zheng leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make M. Zheng the favourite.

The model gave M. Zheng the win at 70 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Zheng won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Zheng's last five matches

T. Svajda's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

M. Zheng leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Zheng beat E. Zhu (6-1 4-6 7-5), then M. Krueger (7-6 6-2). To reach this round, T. Svajda beat B. Bicknell (4-6 7-5 7-5). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Zheng, who beat T. Zink in the final (6-4 6-4). M. Zheng is therefore defending the title.

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Zheng wins 42 % (13 of 31), T. Svajda 55 % (11 of 20). In deciding sets, M. Zheng wins 57 % of the time (30 matches), T. Svajda 45 % (11 matches). After losing the first set, M. Zheng turned 29 % of matches around (38 occasions), T. Svajda 14 % (28 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Zheng went on to win 90 % of matches, T. Svajda 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Zheng – T. Svajda

Who is the favourite between M. Zheng and T. Svajda?
The match is over: M. Zheng won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Zheng the favourite, priced at 1.29 against 3.27 for T. Svajda. Pronocast's model had M. Zheng winning at 70 %.
When is the M. Zheng – T. Svajda match?
On Friday, 18 September 2026 at 01:10, at the Tiburon tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Zheng and T. Svajda?
Since 2020, M. Zheng leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Zheng – T. Svajda?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tiburon

Tournament page

Other matches on 18 September 2026

All matches on 18 September 2026