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J. Ostapenko vs A. Zakharova prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
J. OstapenkoA. Zakharova
58.0 %42.0 %
Model favourite
J. Ostapenko
Probability
58 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · J. Ostapenko

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTASeoulRound of 32hard court09:20
J. Ostapenko
J. Ostapenko
vs
A. Zakharova
A. Zakharova
2231
Elo
2097
2024
Elo on hard court
2061
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
0
Recent matches
0
Edge
Head-to-head
–
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

J. Ostapenko
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
A. Zakharova
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
6 – 4
Wins – losses
5 – 5
14 – 10
Sets won – lost
10 – 10
3 losses
Current streak
2 losses
21-15 (58%)
2026 record
29-25 (54%)
87-67 (56%)
Record on hard court
58-55 (51%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by J. Ostapenko and A. Zakharova, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

J. Ostapenko comes in with an Elo of 2231, against 2097 for A. Zakharova: a 134-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 37 points in favour of A. Zakharova. J. Ostapenko won 6 of the last ten matches, A. Zakharova won 5. J. Ostapenko has 2 wins in the last five matches. A. Zakharova has one win in the last five matches. Since 2020, J. Ostapenko leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave J. Ostapenko the win at 58 %, with a likely score of 2-0. J. Ostapenko won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

J. Ostapenko's last five matches

A. Zakharova's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

J. Ostapenko leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is J. Ostapenko's first match of the tournament. This is A. Zakharova's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by I. Swiatek, who beat E. Alexandrova in the final (1-6 7-6 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, J. Ostapenko wins 51 % (25 of 49), A. Zakharova 57 % (29 of 51). In deciding sets, J. Ostapenko wins 61 % of the time (97 matches), A. Zakharova 45 % (58 matches). After losing the first set, J. Ostapenko turned 31 % of matches around (103 occasions), A. Zakharova 14 % (97 occasions). After winning the first set, J. Ostapenko went on to win 82 % of matches, A. Zakharova 81 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about J. Ostapenko – A. Zakharova

Who is the favourite between J. Ostapenko and A. Zakharova?
The match is over: J. Ostapenko won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had J. Ostapenko winning at 58 %.
When is the J. Ostapenko – A. Zakharova match?
On Tuesday, 22 September 2026 at 09:20, at the Seoul tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between J. Ostapenko and A. Zakharova?
Since 2020, J. Ostapenko leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for J. Ostapenko – A. Zakharova?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Seoul

Tournament page

Other matches on 22 September 2026

All matches on 22 September 2026