K. Kawa vs R. Matsuda prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction

K. KawaR. Matsuda

65.1 %34.9 %

Model favourite: K. Kawa
Probability: 65 %
Predicted score: 2-0
Actual score: 2-1 · K. Kawa

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingQualifyinghard court07:50

K. Kawa

R. Matsuda

1958
Elo: 1775; 1663
Elo on hard court: 1775; 2 / 10
Form (last 10): 7 / 10; 1
Recent matches: 6; Even
Head-to-head: Even; 1.44
Odds: 2.53

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

K. Kawa

R. Matsuda

2 – 8
Wins – losses: 0 – 4; 8 – 17
Sets won – lost: 0 – 7; 5 losses
Current streak: 4 losses; 23-21 (52%)
2026 record: –; 18-40 (31%)
Record on hard court: 0-3 (0%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by K. Kawa and R. Matsuda, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

K. Kawa comes in with an Elo of 1958, against 1775 for R. Matsuda: a 183-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 112 points in favour of R. Matsuda. K. Kawa won 2 of the last ten matches, R. Matsuda won 7. K. Kawa has no win in the last five matches. R. Matsuda has no win in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make K. Kawa the favourite.

The model gave K. Kawa the win at 65 %, with a likely score of 2-0. K. Kawa won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

K. Kawa's last five matches

DMa. Garcia CidValencia 2026 · Round of 32 · 14 September 20263-6 3-6
DE. BennemannAntalya 4 (Turkey) - Qualification 2026 · Round of 32 · 8 September 20262-6 5-7
DE. GorgodzeUS Open 2026 · Qualifying · 24 August 20266-3 6-7 2-6
DE. LysCincinnati 2026 · Qualifying · 12 August 20267-5 1-6 4-6
DJ. MikulskyteWarsaw 2026 · Round of 16 · 5 August 20265-7 6-2 1-6

R. Matsuda's last five matches

DS. ParkChangsha 2025 · Qualifying · 31 August 20250-6 3-6
DE. BektasPorto 2025 · Qualifying · 13 July 20252-6 5-7
DM. DoiWTA Tokyo 2023 · Qualifying · 23 September 20233-6
DH. SakatsumeTokyo 2022 · Qualifying · 17 September 20224-6 2-6

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is K. Kawa's first match of the tournament. This is R. Matsuda's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Frequently asked questions about K. Kawa – R. Matsuda

Who is the favourite between K. Kawa and R. Matsuda?: The match is over: K. Kawa won 2-1. Bookmakers make K. Kawa the favourite, priced at 1.44 against 2.53 for R. Matsuda. Pronocast's model had K. Kawa winning at 65 %.
When is the K. Kawa – R. Matsuda match?: On Monday, 28 September 2026 at 07:50, at the Beijing tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between K. Kawa and R. Matsuda?: No meeting between K. Kawa and R. Matsuda appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for K. Kawa – R. Matsuda?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions