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L. Castelnuovo vs O. Jasika prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
L. CastelnuovoO. Jasika
39.1 %60.9 %
Model favourite
O. Jasika
Probability
61 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-1 · L. Castelnuovo

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerGuangzhou 2Round of 32hard court09:40
L. Castelnuovo
L. Castelnuovo
vs
O. Jasika
O. Jasika
1787
Elo
1794
1784
Elo on hard court
1787
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
5
Recent matches
5
Edge
Head-to-head
–
2.29
Odds
1.55

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. Castelnuovo
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
O. Jasika
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
5 – 5
11 – 11
Sets won – lost
11 – 10
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
10-13 (43%)
2026 record
10-16 (38%)
24-21 (53%)
Record on hard court
72-80 (47%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. Castelnuovo and O. Jasika, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Both players come in with almost the same Elo (1787 against 1794): nothing separates them in the model's rating. L. Castelnuovo won 7 of the last ten matches, O. Jasika won 6. L. Castelnuovo has 4 wins in the last five matches. O. Jasika has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, L. Castelnuovo leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make O. Jasika the favourite.

The model gave O. Jasika the win at 61 %, with a likely score of 2-0. L. Castelnuovo won 1-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

L. Castelnuovo's last five matches

O. Jasika's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

L. Castelnuovo leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is L. Castelnuovo's first match of the tournament. This is O. Jasika's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by J. M. Cerundolo, who beat A. Tabilo in the final (6-2 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, L. Castelnuovo wins 54 % (20 of 37), O. Jasika 42 % (20 of 48). In deciding sets, L. Castelnuovo wins 50 % of the time (22 matches), O. Jasika 45 % (56 matches). After losing the first set, L. Castelnuovo turned 17 % of matches around (36 occasions), O. Jasika 16 % (100 occasions). After winning the first set, L. Castelnuovo went on to win 84 % of matches, O. Jasika 80 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about L. Castelnuovo – O. Jasika

Who is the favourite between L. Castelnuovo and O. Jasika?
The match is over: L. Castelnuovo won 1-1. Bookmakers make O. Jasika the favourite, priced at 1.55 against 2.29 for L. Castelnuovo. Pronocast's model had O. Jasika winning at 61 %.
When is the L. Castelnuovo – O. Jasika match?
On Tuesday, 15 September 2026 at 09:40, at the Guangzhou 2 tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between L. Castelnuovo and O. Jasika?
Since 2020, L. Castelnuovo leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for L. Castelnuovo – O. Jasika?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Guangzhou 2

Tournament page

Other matches on 15 September 2026

All matches on 15 September 2026