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L. Draxl vs N. Basilashvili prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
L. DraxlN. Basilashvili
43.5 %56.5 %
Model favourite
N. Basilashvili
Probability
57 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · N. Basilashvili

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPShanghaiQualifyinghard court06:10
L. Draxl
L. Draxl
vs
N. Basilashvili
N. Basilashvili
2007
Elo
2056
1939
Elo on hard court
1998
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
3
Recent matches
7
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.20
Odds
1.62

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. Draxl
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
N. Basilashvili
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
6 – 4
13 – 11
Sets won – lost
14 – 9
1 win
Current streak
1 win
32-22 (59%)
2026 record
25-26 (49%)
81-56 (59%)
Record on hard court
65-74 (47%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. Draxl and N. Basilashvili, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

N. Basilashvili comes in with an Elo of 2056, against 2007 for L. Draxl: a 50-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 59 points in favour of N. Basilashvili. L. Draxl won 5 of the last ten matches, N. Basilashvili won 6. L. Draxl has 3 wins in the last five matches. N. Basilashvili has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make N. Basilashvili the favourite.

The model gave N. Basilashvili the win at 57 %, with a likely score of 2-0. N. Basilashvili won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

L. Draxl's last five matches

N. Basilashvili's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, L. Draxl beat H. Gaston (7-5 6-4). To reach this round, N. Basilashvili beat A. Ilagan (6-3 6-7 7-5). In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, L. Draxl wins 50 % (35 of 70), N. Basilashvili 55 % (58 of 106). In deciding sets, L. Draxl wins 62 % of the time (74 matches), N. Basilashvili 54 % (92 matches). After losing the first set, L. Draxl turned 24 % of matches around (85 occasions), N. Basilashvili 15 % (130 occasions). After winning the first set, L. Draxl went on to win 86 % of matches, N. Basilashvili 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about L. Draxl – N. Basilashvili

Who is the favourite between L. Draxl and N. Basilashvili?
The match is over: N. Basilashvili won 2-1. Bookmakers make N. Basilashvili the favourite, priced at 1.62 against 2.20 for L. Draxl. Pronocast's model had N. Basilashvili winning at 57 %.
When is the L. Draxl – N. Basilashvili match?
On Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at 06:10, at the Shanghai tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between L. Draxl and N. Basilashvili?
No meeting between L. Draxl and N. Basilashvili appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for L. Draxl – N. Basilashvili?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 6 October 2026

All matches on 6 October 2026