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L. Giustino vs J. Sperle prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
L. GiustinoJ. Sperle
72.9 %27.1 %
Model favourite
L. Giustino
Probability
73 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · L. Giustino

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerBari (Italy) - QualificationRound of 3211:50
L. Giustino
L. Giustino
vs
J. Sperle
J. Sperle
1913
Elo
1744
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
3
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.31
Odds
3.40

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. Giustino
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
J. Sperle
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
5 – 5
13 – 12
Sets won – lost
12 – 12
1 loss
Current streak
2 wins
25-22 (53%)
2026 record
8-7 (53%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. Giustino and J. Sperle, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

L. Giustino comes in with an Elo of 1913, against 1744 for J. Sperle: a 169-point edge. L. Giustino won 7 of the last ten matches, J. Sperle won 8. L. Giustino has 3 wins in the last five matches. J. Sperle has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make L. Giustino the favourite.

The model gave L. Giustino the win at 73 %, with a likely score of 2-0. L. Giustino won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

L. Giustino's last five matches

J. Sperle's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is L. Giustino's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, J. Sperle beat G. La Vela (6-1 7-6), then F. Agamenone (6-2 1-6 7-6).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, L. Giustino wins 48 % (43 of 89), J. Sperle 59 % (10 of 17). In deciding sets, L. Giustino wins 46 % of the time (100 matches), J. Sperle 67 % (12 matches). After losing the first set, L. Giustino turned 12 % of matches around (141 occasions), J. Sperle 17 % (24 occasions). After winning the first set, L. Giustino went on to win 80 % of matches, J. Sperle 78 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about L. Giustino – J. Sperle

Who is the favourite between L. Giustino and J. Sperle?
The match is over: L. Giustino won 2-1. Bookmakers make L. Giustino the favourite, priced at 1.31 against 3.40 for J. Sperle. Pronocast's model had L. Giustino winning at 73 %.
When is the L. Giustino – J. Sperle match?
On Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at 11:50, at the Bari (Italy) - Qualification tournament (Round of 32, Unknown).
What is the head-to-head between L. Giustino and J. Sperle?
No meeting between L. Giustino and J. Sperle appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for L. Giustino – J. Sperle?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Bari (Italy) - Qualification

Tournament page

Other matches on 29 September 2026

All matches on 29 September 2026