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L. Noskova vs E. Alexandrova prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
L. NoskovaE. Alexandrova
71.7 %28.3 %
Model favourite
L. Noskova
Probability
72 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · E. Alexandrova

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingRound of 16hard court06:30
L. Noskova
L. Noskova
vs
E. Alexandrova
E. Alexandrova
2480
Elo
2247
2263
Elo on hard court
2161
9 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
5
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.30
Odds
3.42

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. Noskova
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
E. Alexandrova
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
9 – 1
Wins – losses
6 – 4
19 – 4
Sets won – lost
15 – 12
5 wins
Current streak
2 wins
40-14 (74%)
2026 record
18-21 (46%)
80-47 (63%)
Record on hard court
105-79 (57%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. Noskova and E. Alexandrova, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

L. Noskova comes in with an Elo of 2480, against 2247 for E. Alexandrova: a 232-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 102 points in favour of L. Noskova. L. Noskova won 9 of the last ten matches, E. Alexandrova won 6. L. Noskova has 5 wins in the last five matches. E. Alexandrova has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each. Bookmakers make L. Noskova the favourite.

The model gave L. Noskova the win at 72 %, with a likely score of 2-0. E. Alexandrova won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

L. Noskova's last five matches

E. Alexandrova's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

Level, 1 win(s) each

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, L. Noskova beat G. Ruse (6-4 6-1), then V. Golubic (6-2 6-1). To reach this round, E. Alexandrova beat A. Sasnovich (6-1 6-4), then D. Shnaider (3-6 6-4 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, L. Noskova wins 63 % (52 of 83), E. Alexandrova 46 % (43 of 93). In deciding sets, L. Noskova wins 58 % of the time (77 matches), E. Alexandrova 51 % (97 matches). After losing the first set, L. Noskova turned 22 % of matches around (83 occasions), E. Alexandrova 21 % (119 occasions). After winning the first set, L. Noskova went on to win 88 % of matches, E. Alexandrova 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about L. Noskova – E. Alexandrova

Who is the favourite between L. Noskova and E. Alexandrova?
The match is over: E. Alexandrova won 2-0. Bookmakers make L. Noskova the favourite, priced at 1.30 against 3.42 for E. Alexandrova. Pronocast's model had L. Noskova winning at 72 %.
When is the L. Noskova – E. Alexandrova match?
On Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at 06:30, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between L. Noskova and E. Alexandrova?
Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each.
Where can I see the prediction for L. Noskova – E. Alexandrova?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 6 October 2026

All matches on 6 October 2026