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L. Potenza vs L. Maxted prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
L. PotenzaL. Maxted
42.5 %57.5 %
Model favourite
L. Maxted
Probability
58 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-0 · L. Potenza

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPortoQualifyinghard court13:35
L. Potenza
L. Potenza
vs
LM
L. Maxted
1755
Elo
1784
1719
Elo on hard court
1743
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
2
Recent matches
6
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. Potenza
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
L. Maxted
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
6 – 4
15 – 11
Sets won – lost
13 – 10
1 win
Current streak
1 win
12-14 (46%)
2026 record
9-8 (53%)
28-27 (51%)
Record on hard court
10-11 (48%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. Potenza and L. Maxted, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

L. Maxted comes in with an Elo of 1784, against 1755 for L. Potenza: a 29-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 24 points in favour of L. Maxted. L. Potenza won 6 of the last ten matches, L. Maxted won 5. L. Potenza has 2 wins in the last five matches. L. Maxted has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave L. Maxted the win at 58 %, with a likely score of 2-0. L. Potenza won 1-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

L. Potenza's last five matches

L. Maxted's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, L. Potenza beat I. Marrero Curbelo (6-4 4-6 6-3). To reach this round, L. Maxted beat F. Rocha (4-6 6-3 6-1). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat F. Maestrelli in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

After losing the first set, L. Potenza turned 18 % of matches around (56 occasions), L. Maxted 10 % (10 occasions). After winning the first set, L. Potenza went on to win 86 % of matches, L. Maxted 72 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about L. Potenza – L. Maxted

Who is the favourite between L. Potenza and L. Maxted?
The match is over: L. Potenza won 1-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had L. Maxted winning at 58 %.
When is the L. Potenza – L. Maxted match?
On Monday, 28 September 2026 at 13:35, at the Porto tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between L. Potenza and L. Maxted?
No meeting between L. Potenza and L. Maxted appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for L. Potenza – L. Maxted?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Porto

Tournament page

Other matches on 28 September 2026

All matches on 28 September 2026