Pronocast
ProductPredictionsPricing
Create account

L. Samsonova vs P. Stearns prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
L. SamsonovaP. Stearns
57.2 %42.8 %
Model favourite
L. Samsonova
Probability
57 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · P. Stearns

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTAGuadalajaraSemi-finalhard court03:00
L. Samsonova
L. Samsonova
vs
P. Stearns
P. Stearns
2255
Elo
2163
2140
Elo on hard court
2079
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
3
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.65
Odds
2.25

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. Samsonova
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
P. Stearns
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
6 – 4
17 – 10
Sets won – lost
15 – 9
3 wins
Current streak
3 wins
19-21 (48%)
2026 record
24-20 (55%)
45-43 (51%)
Record on hard court
55-61 (47%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. Samsonova and P. Stearns, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

L. Samsonova comes in with an Elo of 2255, against 2163 for P. Stearns: a 92-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 61 points in favour of L. Samsonova. L. Samsonova won 7 of the last ten matches, P. Stearns won 6. L. Samsonova has 3 wins in the last five matches. P. Stearns has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make L. Samsonova the favourite.

The model gave L. Samsonova the win at 57 %, with a likely score of 2-0. P. Stearns won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

L. Samsonova's last five matches

P. Stearns's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, L. Samsonova beat E. Jacquemot (7-6 6-2), then K. Day (7-6 2-6 7-6), then M. Kostyuk (4-6 6-2 7-5). To reach this round, P. Stearns beat E. Arango (6-3 6-2), then D. Parry (6-2 7-5), then S. Stephens (7-6 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by I. Jovic, who beat E. Arango in the final (6-4 6-1).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, L. Samsonova wins 48 % (20 of 42), P. Stearns 52 % (28 of 54). In deciding sets, L. Samsonova wins 44 % of the time (54 matches), P. Stearns 43 % (72 matches). After losing the first set, L. Samsonova turned 24 % of matches around (62 occasions), P. Stearns 15 % (82 occasions). After winning the first set, L. Samsonova went on to win 77 % of matches, P. Stearns 81 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about L. Samsonova – P. Stearns

Who is the favourite between L. Samsonova and P. Stearns?
The match is over: P. Stearns won 2-0. Bookmakers make L. Samsonova the favourite, priced at 1.65 against 2.25 for P. Stearns. Pronocast's model had L. Samsonova winning at 57 %.
When is the L. Samsonova – P. Stearns match?
On Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 03:00, at the Guadalajara tournament (Semi-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between L. Samsonova and P. Stearns?
No meeting between L. Samsonova and P. Stearns appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for L. Samsonova – P. Stearns?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Guadalajara

Tournament page

Other matches on 19 September 2026

All matches on 19 September 2026