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M. Frech vs I. Jovic prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. FrechI. Jovic
28.3 %71.7 %
Model favourite
I. Jovic
Probability
72 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · I. Jovic

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTAGuadalajaraQuarter-finalhard court22:30
M. Frech
M. Frech
vs
I. Jovic
I. Jovic
2117
Elo
2340
2078
Elo on hard court
2214
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
3
Recent matches
5
–
Head-to-head
Edge
3.26
Odds
1.36

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Frech
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
I. Jovic
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
6 – 4
14 – 8
Sets won – lost
13 – 9
2 wins
Current streak
1 win
18-22 (45%)
2026 record
35-19 (65%)
94-88 (52%)
Record on hard court
39-24 (62%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Frech and I. Jovic, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

I. Jovic comes in with an Elo of 2340, against 2117 for M. Frech: a 224-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 136 points in favour of I. Jovic. M. Frech won 6 of the last ten matches, I. Jovic won 6. M. Frech has 3 wins in the last five matches. I. Jovic has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, I. Jovic leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make I. Jovic the favourite.

The model gave I. Jovic the win at 72 %, with a likely score of 2-0. I. Jovic won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Frech's last five matches

I. Jovic's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

I. Jovic leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Frech beat N. Hibino (6-1 6-4), then C. Dolehide (6-4 6-3). To reach this round, I. Jovic beat Z. Sonmez (7-6 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by I. Jovic, who beat E. Arango in the final (6-4 6-1). I. Jovic is therefore defending the title.

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Frech wins 43 % (32 of 74), I. Jovic 50 % (12 of 24). In deciding sets, M. Frech wins 49 % of the time (108 matches), I. Jovic 58 % (33 matches). After losing the first set, M. Frech turned 19 % of matches around (147 occasions), I. Jovic 12 % (34 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Frech went on to win 80 % of matches, I. Jovic 90 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Frech – I. Jovic

Who is the favourite between M. Frech and I. Jovic?
The match is over: I. Jovic won 2-0. Bookmakers make I. Jovic the favourite, priced at 1.36 against 3.26 for M. Frech. Pronocast's model had I. Jovic winning at 72 %.
When is the M. Frech – I. Jovic match?
On Thursday, 17 September 2026 at 22:30, at the Guadalajara tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Frech and I. Jovic?
Since 2020, I. Jovic leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Frech – I. Jovic?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Guadalajara

Tournament page

Other matches on 17 September 2026

All matches on 17 September 2026