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L. van Assche vs Y. Bu prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
L. van AsscheY. Bu
41.3 %58.7 %
Model favourite
Y. Bu
Probability
59 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · Y. Bu

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPShanghaiRound of 128hard court12:10
L. van Assche
L. van Assche
vs
Y. Bu
Y. Bu
2179
Elo
2143
2082
Elo on hard court
2045
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
1
Recent matches
5
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.29
Odds
1.61

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. van Assche
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
Y. Bu
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
6 – 4
Wins – losses
6 – 4
13 – 12
Sets won – lost
16 – 12
2 losses
Current streak
1 loss
42-21 (67%)
2026 record
33-19 (63%)
92-82 (53%)
Record on hard court
116-77 (60%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. van Assche and Y. Bu, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

L. van Assche comes in with an Elo of 2179, against 2143 for Y. Bu: a 35-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 38 points in favour of L. van Assche. L. van Assche won 6 of the last ten matches, Y. Bu won 6. L. van Assche has 2 wins in the last five matches. Y. Bu has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make Y. Bu the favourite.

The model gave Y. Bu the win at 59 %, with a likely score of 2-0. Y. Bu won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

L. van Assche's last five matches

Y. Bu's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is L. van Assche's first match of the tournament. This is Y. Bu's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, L. van Assche wins 50 % (60 of 119), Y. Bu 45 % (50 of 111). In deciding sets, L. van Assche wins 60 % of the time (129 matches), Y. Bu 48 % (73 matches). After losing the first set, L. van Assche turned 29 % of matches around (175 occasions), Y. Bu 19 % (95 occasions). After winning the first set, L. van Assche went on to win 85 % of matches, Y. Bu 81 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about L. van Assche – Y. Bu

Who is the favourite between L. van Assche and Y. Bu?
The match is over: Y. Bu won 2-0. Bookmakers make Y. Bu the favourite, priced at 1.61 against 2.29 for L. van Assche. Pronocast's model had Y. Bu winning at 59 %.
When is the L. van Assche – Y. Bu match?
On Thursday, 8 October 2026 at 12:10, at the Shanghai tournament (Round of 128, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between L. van Assche and Y. Bu?
No meeting between L. van Assche and Y. Bu appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for L. van Assche – Y. Bu?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 8 October 2026

All matches on 8 October 2026