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M. Basing vs M. Poljicak prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
M. BasingM. Poljicak
63.2 %36.8 %
Model favourite
M. Basing
Probability
63 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · M. Poljicak

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPortoRound of 32hard court15:10
M. Basing
M. Basing
vs
M. Poljicak
M. Poljicak
1944
Elo
1873
1919
Elo on hard court
1698
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
1
Recent matches
0
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.50
Odds
2.35

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Basing
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
M. Poljicak
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
7 – 3
Wins – losses
6 – 4
15 – 8
Sets won – lost
12 – 10
5 wins
Current streak
4 losses
16-10 (62%)
2026 record
19-13 (59%)
24-11 (69%)
Record on hard court
2-9 (18%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Basing and M. Poljicak, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Basing comes in with an Elo of 1944, against 1873 for M. Poljicak: a 72-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 221 points in favour of M. Basing. M. Basing won 7 of the last ten matches, M. Poljicak won 5. M. Basing has 5 wins in the last five matches. M. Poljicak has one win in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Basing the favourite.

The model gave M. Basing the win at 63 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Poljicak won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

M. Basing's last five matches

M. Poljicak's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is M. Basing's first match of the tournament. This is M. Poljicak's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat F. Maestrelli in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Basing wins 63 % (12 of 19), M. Poljicak 55 % (18 of 33). In deciding sets, M. Basing wins 67 % of the time (21 matches), M. Poljicak 45 % (44 matches). After losing the first set, M. Basing turned 35 % of matches around (17 occasions), M. Poljicak 16 % (55 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Basing went on to win 83 % of matches, M. Poljicak 79 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Basing – M. Poljicak

Who is the favourite between M. Basing and M. Poljicak?
The match is over: M. Poljicak won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Basing the favourite, priced at 1.50 against 2.35 for M. Poljicak. Pronocast's model had M. Basing winning at 63 %.
When is the M. Basing – M. Poljicak match?
On Monday, 28 September 2026 at 15:10, at the Porto tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Basing and M. Poljicak?
No meeting between M. Basing and M. Poljicak appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Basing – M. Poljicak?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Porto

Tournament page

Other matches on 28 September 2026

All matches on 28 September 2026