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M. Bellucci vs A. Muller prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. BellucciA. Muller
65.6 %34.4 %
Model favourite
M. Bellucci
Probability
66 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · M. Bellucci

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPShanghaiQualifyinghard court10:00
M. Bellucci
M. Bellucci
vs
A. Muller
A. Muller
2132
Elo
1996
2041
Elo on hard court
1938
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
8
Recent matches
7
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.42
Odds
2.72

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Bellucci
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
A. Muller
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
6 – 4
16 – 8
Sets won – lost
12 – 10
1 win
Current streak
1 win
33-27 (55%)
2026 record
18-23 (44%)
114-84 (58%)
Record on hard court
85-83 (51%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Bellucci and A. Muller, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Bellucci comes in with an Elo of 2132, against 1996 for A. Muller: a 136-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 104 points in favour of M. Bellucci. M. Bellucci won 7 of the last ten matches, A. Muller won 6. M. Bellucci has 4 wins in the last five matches. A. Muller has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, M. Bellucci leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make M. Bellucci the favourite.

The model gave M. Bellucci the win at 66 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Bellucci won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Bellucci's last five matches

A. Muller's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

M. Bellucci leads 2 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Bellucci beat E. Ymer (4-6 7-5 7-6). To reach this round, A. Muller beat R. Noguchi (6-3 4-6 6-1). In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Bellucci wins 53 % (61 of 115), A. Muller 50 % (74 of 149). In deciding sets, M. Bellucci wins 49 % of the time (72 matches), A. Muller 61 % (112 matches). After losing the first set, M. Bellucci turned 14 % of matches around (117 occasions), A. Muller 23 % (183 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Bellucci went on to win 83 % of matches, A. Muller 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Bellucci – A. Muller

Who is the favourite between M. Bellucci and A. Muller?
The match is over: M. Bellucci won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Bellucci the favourite, priced at 1.42 against 2.72 for A. Muller. Pronocast's model had M. Bellucci winning at 66 %.
When is the M. Bellucci – A. Muller match?
On Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at 10:00, at the Shanghai tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Bellucci and A. Muller?
Since 2020, M. Bellucci leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Bellucci – A. Muller?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 6 October 2026

All matches on 6 October 2026