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M. Berrettini vs B. Nakashima prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has B. Nakashima winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
B. Nakashima
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

ATPShanghaiRound of 64hard court07:30
M. Berrettini
M. Berrettini
vs
B. Nakashima
B. Nakashima
2.23
Odds
1.64

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Berrettini
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
B. Nakashima
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
6 – 4
17 – 16
Sets won – lost
13 – 13
1 win
Current streak
1 loss
20-16 (56%)
2026 record
33-19 (63%)
64-46 (58%)
Record on hard court
158-99 (61%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Berrettini and B. Nakashima, before this match.

Recent matches

M. Berrettini's last five matches

B. Nakashima's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

M. Berrettini leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Berrettini beat A. Kovacevic (6-7 6-1 6-4). This is B. Nakashima's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Berrettini wins 58 % (82 of 141), B. Nakashima 53 % (116 of 220). In deciding sets, M. Berrettini wins 60 % of the time (73 matches), B. Nakashima 51 % (123 matches). After losing the first set, M. Berrettini turned 39 % of matches around (83 occasions), B. Nakashima 22 % (147 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Berrettini went on to win 86 % of matches, B. Nakashima 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Berrettini – B. Nakashima

Who is the favourite between M. Berrettini and B. Nakashima?
Bookmakers make B. Nakashima the favourite, priced at 1.64 against 2.23 for M. Berrettini. Pronocast's model has B. Nakashima winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the M. Berrettini – B. Nakashima match?
On Friday, 9 October 2026 at 07:30, at the Shanghai tournament (Round of 64, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Berrettini and B. Nakashima?
Since 2020, M. Berrettini leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Berrettini – B. Nakashima?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 9 October 2026

All matches on 9 October 2026