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M. Damas vs M. Dodig prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. DamasM. Dodig
23.4 %76.6 %
Model favourite
M. Dodig
Probability
77 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · M. Dodig

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerBragaRound of 16clay11:10
M. Damas
M. Damas
vs
M. Dodig
M. Dodig
1835
Elo
2040
1819
Elo on clay
2037
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
4
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
3.70
Odds
1.26

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Damas
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
M. Dodig
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
4 – 6
Wins – losses
7 – 3
9 – 14
Sets won – lost
15 – 10
1 win
Current streak
1 win
24-29 (45%)
2026 record
29-18 (62%)
57-67 (46%)
Record on clay
64-51 (56%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Damas and M. Dodig, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Dodig comes in with an Elo of 2040, against 1835 for M. Damas: a 205-point edge. On clay, the gap is 218 points in favour of M. Dodig. M. Damas won 6 of the last ten matches, M. Dodig won 7. M. Damas has 3 wins in the last five matches. M. Dodig has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Dodig the favourite.

The model gave M. Dodig the win at 77 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Dodig won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Damas's last five matches

M. Dodig's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Damas beat J. Nikles (6-4 6-3). To reach this round, M. Dodig beat A. Pellegrino (6-3 3-6 6-1). In 2025, the tournament was won by L. Mikrut, who beat V. Gaubas in the final (6-3 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Damas wins 47 % (23 of 49), M. Dodig 55 % (29 of 53). In deciding sets, M. Damas wins 42 % of the time (48 matches), M. Dodig 55 % (65 matches). After losing the first set, M. Damas turned 8 % of matches around (76 occasions), M. Dodig 24 % (70 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Damas went on to win 79 % of matches, M. Dodig 80 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Damas – M. Dodig

Who is the favourite between M. Damas and M. Dodig?
The match is over: M. Dodig won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Dodig the favourite, priced at 1.26 against 3.70 for M. Damas. Pronocast's model had M. Dodig winning at 77 %.
When is the M. Damas – M. Dodig match?
On Thursday, 8 October 2026 at 11:10, at the Braga tournament (Round of 16, clay).
What is the head-to-head between M. Damas and M. Dodig?
No meeting between M. Damas and M. Dodig appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Damas – M. Dodig?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Braga

Tournament page

Other matches on 8 October 2026

All matches on 8 October 2026