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M. Echargui vs B. Harris prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
M. EcharguiB. Harris
48.1 %51.9 %
Model favourite
B. Harris
Probability
52 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · M. Echargui

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerCassisRound of 16hard court11:25
M. Echargui
M. Echargui
vs
B. Harris
B. Harris
1847
Elo
1934
1828
Elo on hard court
1847
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
2
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.93
Odds
1.77

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Echargui
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
B. Harris
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
4 – 6
Wins – losses
4 – 6
10 – 13
Sets won – lost
11 – 13
1 win
Current streak
1 win
12-29 (29%)
2026 record
18-27 (40%)
40-45 (47%)
Record on hard court
103-87 (54%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Echargui and B. Harris, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

B. Harris comes in with an Elo of 1934, against 1847 for M. Echargui: a 86-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 19 points in favour of B. Harris. M. Echargui won 4 of the last ten matches, B. Harris won 4. M. Echargui has 2 wins in the last five matches. B. Harris has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make B. Harris the favourite.

The model gave B. Harris the win at 52 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Echargui won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

M. Echargui's last five matches

B. Harris's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Echargui beat L. Poullain (6-4 6-2). To reach this round, B. Harris beat H. Grenier (7-5 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by B. Harris, who beat D. Glinka in the final (3-6 7-5 6-3). B. Harris is therefore defending the title.

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Echargui wins 50 % (37 of 74), B. Harris 49 % (71 of 146). In deciding sets, M. Echargui wins 40 % of the time (77 matches), B. Harris 53 % (116 matches). After losing the first set, M. Echargui turned 14 % of matches around (100 occasions), B. Harris 20 % (160 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Echargui went on to win 77 % of matches, B. Harris 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Echargui – B. Harris

Who is the favourite between M. Echargui and B. Harris?
The match is over: M. Echargui won 2-1. Bookmakers make B. Harris the favourite, priced at 1.77 against 1.93 for M. Echargui. Pronocast's model had B. Harris winning at 52 %.
When is the M. Echargui – B. Harris match?
On Thursday, 10 September 2026 at 11:25, at the Cassis tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Echargui and B. Harris?
No meeting between M. Echargui and B. Harris appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Echargui – B. Harris?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Cassis

Tournament page

Other matches on 10 September 2026

All matches on 10 September 2026