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M. Erhard vs A. Barroso Campos prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
M. ErhardA. Barroso Campos
76.9 %23.1 %
Model favourite
M. Erhard
Probability
77 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · A. Barroso Campos

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerMouilleron-Le-CaptifQualifyinghard court14:20
M. Erhard
M. Erhard
vs
A. Barroso Campos
A. Barroso Campos
1875
Elo
1622
1780
Elo on hard court
1612
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
2
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.23
Odds
3.74

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Erhard
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
A. Barroso Campos
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
2 – 8
17 – 8
Sets won – lost
7 – 16
1 win
Current streak
1 win
24-20 (55%)
2026 record
2-8 (20%)
19-20 (49%)
Record on hard court
18-30 (38%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Erhard and A. Barroso Campos, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Erhard comes in with an Elo of 1875, against 1622 for A. Barroso Campos: a 253-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 168 points in favour of M. Erhard. M. Erhard won 7 of the last ten matches, A. Barroso Campos won 4. M. Erhard has 3 wins in the last five matches. A. Barroso Campos has one win in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Erhard the favourite.

The model gave M. Erhard the win at 77 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Barroso Campos won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

M. Erhard's last five matches

A. Barroso Campos's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Erhard beat P. Theate (6-4 6-2). To reach this round, A. Barroso Campos beat T. Boogaard (6-2 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by N. Budkov Kjaer, who beat P. Kypson in the final (6-0 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Erhard wins 47 % (26 of 55), A. Barroso Campos 44 % (8 of 18). In deciding sets, M. Erhard wins 53 % of the time (53 matches), A. Barroso Campos 30 % (27 matches). After losing the first set, M. Erhard turned 20 % of matches around (83 occasions), A. Barroso Campos 9 % (43 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Erhard went on to win 85 % of matches, A. Barroso Campos 63 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Erhard – A. Barroso Campos

Who is the favourite between M. Erhard and A. Barroso Campos?
The match is over: A. Barroso Campos won 2-1. Bookmakers make M. Erhard the favourite, priced at 1.23 against 3.74 for A. Barroso Campos. Pronocast's model had M. Erhard winning at 77 %.
When is the M. Erhard – A. Barroso Campos match?
On Monday, 28 September 2026 at 14:20, at the Mouilleron-Le-Captif tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Erhard and A. Barroso Campos?
No meeting between M. Erhard and A. Barroso Campos appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Erhard – A. Barroso Campos?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Mouilleron-Le-Captif

Tournament page

Other matches on 28 September 2026

All matches on 28 September 2026