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M. Geerts vs J. Domingues prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. GeertsJ. Domingues
61.1 %38.9 %
Model favourite
M. Geerts
Probability
61 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · M. Geerts

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPortoQualifyinghard court16:45
M. Geerts
M. Geerts
vs
J. Domingues
J. Domingues
1847
Elo
1737
1840
Elo on hard court
1735
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
2
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Geerts
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
J. Domingues
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
4 – 6
Wins – losses
3 – 7
10 – 14
Sets won – lost
10 – 14
1 win
Current streak
1 win
11-15 (42%)
2026 record
2-4 (33%)
82-81 (50%)
Record on hard court
6-10 (38%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Geerts and J. Domingues, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Geerts comes in with an Elo of 1847, against 1737 for J. Domingues: a 110-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 105 points in favour of M. Geerts. M. Geerts won 6 of the last ten matches, J. Domingues won 4. M. Geerts has 2 wins in the last five matches. J. Domingues has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, M. Geerts leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave M. Geerts the win at 61 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Geerts won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Geerts's last five matches

J. Domingues's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

M. Geerts leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Geerts beat V. Orlov (7-6 6-2). To reach this round, J. Domingues beat V. Ursu (7-6 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat F. Maestrelli in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Geerts wins 47 % (58 of 123), J. Domingues 53 % (19 of 36). In deciding sets, M. Geerts wins 43 % of the time (102 matches), J. Domingues 40 % (48 matches). After losing the first set, M. Geerts turned 18 % of matches around (148 occasions), J. Domingues 18 % (67 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Geerts went on to win 79 % of matches, J. Domingues 63 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Geerts – J. Domingues

Who is the favourite between M. Geerts and J. Domingues?
The match is over: M. Geerts won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had M. Geerts winning at 61 %.
When is the M. Geerts – J. Domingues match?
On Monday, 28 September 2026 at 16:45, at the Porto tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Geerts and J. Domingues?
Since 2020, M. Geerts leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Geerts – J. Domingues?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Porto

Tournament page

Other matches on 28 September 2026

All matches on 28 September 2026