M. Inglis vs D. Astakhova prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction

M. InglisD. Astakhova

51.3 %48.7 %

Model favourite: M. Inglis
Probability: 51 %
Predicted score: 2-0; Exact score
Actual score: 2-0 · M. Inglis

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingQualifyinghard court08:50

M. Inglis

D. Astakhova

1981
Elo: 2000; 1940
Elo on hard court: 1953; 6 / 10
Form (last 10): 8 / 10; 1
Recent matches: 5; Even
Head-to-head: Even; 1.82
Odds: 1.86

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Inglis

D. Astakhova

6 – 4
Wins – losses: 5 – 5; 14 – 10
Sets won – lost: 13 – 12; 1 win
Current streak: 1 win; 12-11 (52%)
2026 record: 9-7 (56%); 43-45 (49%)
Record on hard court: 5-7 (42%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Inglis and D. Astakhova, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

D. Astakhova comes in with an Elo of 2000, against 1981 for M. Inglis: a 19-point edge. M. Inglis won 6 of the last ten matches, D. Astakhova won 8. M. Inglis has 3 wins in the last five matches. D. Astakhova has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Inglis the favourite.

The model gave M. Inglis the win at 51 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Inglis won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Inglis's last five matches

VX. YaoBeijing 2026 · Qualifying · 28 September 20266-1 7-5
DS. HunterUS Open 2026 · Qualifying · 25 August 20263-6 0-6
DT. PrestonVancouver 2026 · Final · 1 August 20266-7 3-6
VM. HontamaVancouver 2026 · Semi-final · 31 July 20266-3 6-4
VM. UchijimaVancouver 2026 · Quarter-final · 30 July 20266-4 6-7 6-3

D. Astakhova's last five matches

VD. KrawczykBeijing 2026 · Qualifying · 28 September 20266-2 6-1
DA. KorneevaSeoul 2026 · Round of 16 · 23 September 20262-6 6-3 1-6
VM. LinetteSeoul 2026 · Round of 32 · 21 September 20263-6 6-1 7-6
VA. ShubladzeSeoul 2026 · Qualifying · 20 September 20266-4 6-4
VH. KajiSeoul 2026 · Qualifying · 19 September 20266-2 6-7 6-2

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Inglis beat X. Yao (6-1 7-5). To reach this round, D. Astakhova beat D. Krawczyk (6-2 6-1). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In deciding sets, M. Inglis wins 46 % of the time (48 matches), D. Astakhova 56 % (18 matches). After losing the first set, M. Inglis turned 15 % of matches around (67 occasions), D. Astakhova 21 % (24 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Inglis went on to win 82 % of matches, D. Astakhova 76 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Inglis – D. Astakhova

Who is the favourite between M. Inglis and D. Astakhova?: The match is over: M. Inglis won 2-0. Bookmakers cannot separate the two players: M. Inglis is priced at 1.82, D. Astakhova at 1.86. Pronocast's model had M. Inglis winning at 51 %.
When is the M. Inglis – D. Astakhova match?: On Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at 08:50, at the Beijing tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Inglis and D. Astakhova?: No meeting between M. Inglis and D. Astakhova appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Inglis – D. Astakhova?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions