M. Inglis vs X. Yao prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction

M. InglisX. Yao

63.0 %37.0 %

Model favourite: M. Inglis
Probability: 63 %
Predicted score: 2-0; Exact score
Actual score: 2-0 · M. Inglis

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingQualifyinghard court13:20

M. Inglis

X. Yao

1972
Elo: 1790; 1926
Elo on hard court: 1819; 6 / 10
Form (last 10): 4 / 10; 0
Recent matches: 4; Even
Head-to-head: Even; –
Odds: –

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Inglis

X. Yao

6 – 4
Wins – losses: 6 – 4; 14 – 11
Sets won – lost: 14 – 10; 2 losses
Current streak: 1 loss; 11-11 (50%)
2026 record: 6-3 (67%); 42-45 (48%)
Record on hard court: 7-11 (39%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Inglis and X. Yao, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Inglis comes in with an Elo of 1972, against 1790 for X. Yao: a 182-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 108 points in favour of M. Inglis. M. Inglis won 6 of the last ten matches, X. Yao won 4. M. Inglis has 3 wins in the last five matches. X. Yao has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave M. Inglis the win at 63 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Inglis won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Inglis's last five matches

DS. HunterUS Open 2026 · Qualifying · 25 August 20263-6 0-6
DT. PrestonVancouver 2026 · Final · 1 August 20266-7 3-6
VM. HontamaVancouver 2026 · Semi-final · 31 July 20266-3 6-4
VM. UchijimaVancouver 2026 · Quarter-final · 30 July 20266-4 6-7 6-3
VS. CostoulasVancouver 2026 · Round of 16 · 30 July 20266-3 6-3

X. Yao's last five matches

DM. JointSeoul 2026 · Round of 32 · 21 September 20266-2 6-7 3-6
VM. KuramochiSeoul 2026 · Qualifying · 20 September 20266-1 6-4
VP. HonSeoul 2026 · Qualifying · 19 September 20266-7 7-6 7-5
DX. YouJiujiang (China) - Qualification 2026 · Semi-final · 9 May 20265-7 2-6
VL. TararudeeJiujiang (China) - Qualification 2026 · Quarter-final · 8 May 20266-4 6-4

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is M. Inglis's first match of the tournament. This is X. Yao's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

After losing the first set, M. Inglis turned 15 % of matches around (67 occasions), X. Yao 14 % (14 occasions).

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Inglis – X. Yao

Who is the favourite between M. Inglis and X. Yao?: The match is over: M. Inglis won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had M. Inglis winning at 63 %.
When is the M. Inglis – X. Yao match?: On Monday, 28 September 2026 at 13:20, at the Beijing tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Inglis and X. Yao?: No meeting between M. Inglis and X. Yao appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Inglis – X. Yao?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions